August 28 news
[Key Insight] In the short term, BDO is showing a clear upward trend, supported by both shrinking plant maintenance on the supply side and strong growth in export demand. Spot prices have risen consecutively over the past three days; however, prices are currently at the high end of the 60-day cycle, leaving relatively limited room for further upside movement.
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of August 27, 2026 | Value as of August 26, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 56.66 | 46.67 | + |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 57.50 | 48.33 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 77.92 | 69.17 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current signal is a clear bullish signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is clearly upward, for the following reasons: First, the directions of change in the three moving averages are completely consistent with those of the previous day, and all three moving averages themselves are positive—meeting the criteria for a clear upward trend. Second, fundamental support is robust: Since August, multiple BDO production units have been shut down for maintenance, and additional plant maintenance plans are still scheduled, leading to a significant contraction in supply and a notable reduction in industry inventories. Third, influenced by the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, the overseas BDO supply gap has shifted to China. From January to July 2026, BDO export volume surged by 57.85% year-on-year, already surpassing the total export volume for the entire year 2025, effectively easing domestic market pressure. As a result, holders are strongly inclined to maintain prices; over the past three days, spot prices in East China and South China have risen by an average of 50 CNY per ton daily, and auction transaction prices have continued to climb, indicating that the upward trend is set to persist.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
The 60-day cycle BDO price is in the 5th tier (high), with limited short-term upside potential; both the 3-month and 1-year cycles are at a medium-high level, and further increases in the medium to long term will require more demand-driven factors.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
