September 1st news
[Key Insight] Ethanol is currently in a clear bottoming-out and rebounding trend in the short term, and it’s now at the lower end of its cycle, leaving room for further rebound going forward.
1. Average Deviation Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Value as of 2026.08.31 | Value as of 2026.08.30 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 0 | -1.11 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -6.11 | -7.55 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -12.78 | -14.22 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
Clearly rising
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is clearly upward.
Reason: The changes in all three averages from the previous day are consistently positive, meeting the clear upward trend criteria of the average difference method; fundamentally, the rise in imported ethanol prices and the increase in factory prices in Shandong, a major production area in China, provide support for the price.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
Ethanol prices for 60-day and 3-month cycles are both in the 1st tier (low position), with limited short-term downward space and ample room for a rebound; the 1-year cycle price is in the 2nd tier (mid-low position), with strong support for medium to long-term upward movement.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
