September 3 news
[Key Insight] Currently, BDO is showing a clear upward trend, supported by reduced plant maintenance and tight spot supply. The 60-day moving average is in the mid-to-high range, leaving some room for further short-term gains. Going forward, it will be crucial to monitor the pace of plant restarts and the strength of downstream demand absorption.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Value as of 2026-09-02 | Value as of 2026-09-01 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 56 CNY/ton | 25 CNY/ton | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 69 CNY/ton | 63 CNY/ton | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 75 CNY/ton | 73 CNY/ton | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
Three deviations all changed in the same positive direction compared to the previous day, indicating a clear upward signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term BDO price trend is clearly upward.
Reason: The changes in all three differences from the previous day are positive, meeting the criteria for a clear upward trend; fundamentally, multiple BDO plants in China are undergoing maintenance and reducing production, leading to a tighter supply of spot goods. Recent auction prices have been continuously rising, providing strong support for the price.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
In the recent 60-day cycle, the price is in the 4th tier (mid-high), and in the recent 1-year cycle, it is in the 3rd tier (mid). There is still some room for a short-term increase, and subsequently, attention needs to be paid to the progress of facility resumption and the downstream demand situation in China.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
