October 9th News
Core View: 1,4-butanediol is showing a weak and short-term rebound with a bearish trend. It is currently at a high price level across multiple cycles, lacking upward momentum, and there is a certain risk of a short-term correction.
The latest available data is up to October 8, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on 2026-10-08 | Value on 2026-10-07 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 53.33 | 0.00 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 6.66 | 10.00 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 356.88 | 408.96 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
The current signal is a weak rebound (bearish).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term price trend is biased towards being volatile and bearish, for the following reasons:
Three differences in direction are not entirely consistent, failing to meet the conditions for a unilateral increase/decrease, and overall, they are in a fluctuation range.
Only the 5-day moving average spread edged up, while the 10-day and 20-day spreads declined in tandem, indicating that short- to medium-term upward momentum continues to weaken and price gains lack sufficient support.
Currently, the prices of upstream raw materials in the industry chain such as calcium carbide and formaldehyde in China are stable with a slight decline, and the support from the cost side is weakening. There is no significant increase in downstream demand, making it difficult for prices to sustain an upward trend.
4. Positional Space Reference
1,4-butanol prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods in China are all in the 5th tier (high), indicating limited short-term upside potential and a higher risk of a pullback.
5. 1 Year Trend Chart
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
