This analysis of the spot price trend for ethyl acetate based on the mean difference analysis system shows: The current price of ethyl acetate is in a fluctuating cycle, signaling a weak rebound (bearish), with prices at a relatively high level in recent years, leaving limited room for further increases. Combined with the negative fundamentals such as high resistance from downstream consumers to high-priced supplies and increased pressure on sales due to higher production rates, there is a higher probability of weaker short-term price performance. The latest available data is up to October 18, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Finite Differences
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on October 18, 2026 | Value on October 17, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | -44.00 | -73.33 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | -0.33 | 37.67 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 134.17 | 141.83 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current three difference change combinations are (+, -, -), which align with the characteristics of a weak rebound (bearish) signal in a volatile range in China.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current trend in ethyl acetate prices is judged to be volatile (with a bearish bias). The reason is that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. This indicates a volatile range, combined with a weak rebound and a bearish signal, suggesting stronger downward momentum in the short term.
IV. Positional Space Reference
Ethyl acetate 60-day and 3-month cycle prices are both at a high level (5th tier), while the 1-year cycle price is at a mid-high level (4th tier). With prices in the high range, there is very limited room for further increases, and the probability of a pressured correction is relatively high.
V. 1-Year Trend Chart Display
Six, Recent Fundamental Dynamics
Since mid-October, the ethyl acetate market in East China and North China has continued to operate weakly: Due to the significant price increase earlier, downstream consumers have shown a clear resistance to high-priced goods. Coupled with increased production rates and greater pressure to sell, factories have continuously reduced their prices for several days. The latest spot average price on October 18 was 7,126.67 CNY per ton. Market participants are generally pessimistic, and actual transactions are mainly based on negotiations.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
