Recently, the price of DOP has continued to rise. On August 24, major manufacturers in China continued to increase their quotes. The average difference indicator shows that the current market is in a strong consolidation phase with a bullish trend. In terms of the price cycle, the 1-year cycle is at a mid-high level, while the 60-day and 3-month cycles are at high levels. The short-term potential for further increases needs to be judged in conjunction with the supply and demand situation upstream and downstream.
I. Table of Average Deviation Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-24) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-23) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 44.17 | 60 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 177.5 | 170 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 182.5 | 162.08 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current mean difference change direction combination is (－, ＋, ＋), which belongs to a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The price trend is characterized by volatility. The reason: The directions of change in the three moving averages are not entirely consistent with the previous day—specifically, the 5-day moving average has narrowed, while the 10-day and 20-day moving averages have widened. This pattern reflects a strong consolidation phase with a slight bullish bias. Although the market still has upward momentum, its short-term impetus has slowed down somewhat.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day price cycle position: High; short-term upside potential is limited.
Price position in the 3-month cycle: at a high level, with upward pressure becoming evident;
Price position within the 1-year cycle: Mid-to-high range, with some support but cautious about upward potential.
V. Trend Chart Display
VI. Supplement to Market Dynamics
Recent mainstream manufacturers' DOP quotations have continued to rise: On August 24, Dongying Yimeide Chemical quoted 9,400 CNY/ton, an increase of 100 CNY/ton; Zhenjiang Liancheng Chemical quoted 9,600 CNY/ton, an increase of 50 CNY/ton; previously, on August 21, Zhenjiang Liancheng, Zhejiang Hongbo, and other manufacturers' quotations all saw a price increase of 150-200 CNY/ton, with actual transaction prices also rising. The upstream of the DOP industry chain is n-octanol, phthalic anhydride, and 2-ethylhexanol, while the downstream is PVC plasticizers. Both the upstream and downstream operations are maintaining normal levels.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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