DOP Price Analysis Daily Report (2026-08-14)
On August 13, 2026, the DOP price in China showed a clear upward trend. The mean difference indicators for 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day periods all exhibited positive changes compared to the previous day. Coupled with the recent adjustments in manufacturer quotations, the current price is at the median level of the 1-year cycle and at a relatively high level within the 60-day cycle. Further observation of the supply and demand dynamics along the industrial chain is needed to assess the potential for further increases.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-13) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-12) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 60 | 30 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 19.17 | 15 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -10.42 | -22.08 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
Clearly indicate an upward signal (the directions of change for the three moving averages are all positive compared to the previous day).
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The price trend is clearly upward. The reason is as follows: According to the moving average difference method’s criteria, the direction of change in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to yesterday was positive across the board, meeting the signal standard for a clear upward trend. From the perspective of manufacturer quotes, on August 12, several companies—including Shandong Shengfeng, Dongying Yimeide, and Zhenjiang Liancheng—raised their DOP prices by 100 CNY per ton. Although Dongying Yimeide lowered its quote by 50 CNY per ton on August 13, actual transaction prices remained stable. The previous consecutive price increases continued to provide support, collectively driving the overall price trend toward a clear upward direction.
4. Spatial Reference
The price is at the median of the 1-year cycle, the median of the 3-month cycle, and the upper-middle of the 60-day cycle. Among these, the 60-day cycle is in the upper-middle, which may limit the short-term upside potential; the 1-year and 3-month cycles are at the median, indicating that there is still some room for price fluctuation in the medium term.
V. Chart Display
VI. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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