On August 17, 2026, the market price of heavy soda ash in China remained stable at 1,090 CNY per ton. The average difference over 20 days rebounded compared to the previous day, while the 5-day and 10-day average differences remained stable, with the difference indicators showing a resistance to decline warning signal. The current price is at a low point in the 1-year, 3-month, and 60-day cycles, with limited room for further decline. Subsequent attention should be paid to the demand release from downstream industries such as glass and baking soda, as well as the supply situation of upstream raw materials. The latest available data is up to August 17, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today’s Value (2026-08-17) | Yesterday’s Value (2026-08-16) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 0.00 | 0.00 | Flat |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 0.00 | 0.00 | Flat |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -7.36 | -10.07 | Up |
II. Signal State Determination
Three moving average differences do not change in a completely consistent direction (5-day and 10-day moving average differences are flat, while the 20-day moving average difference is rising), which is consistent with the characteristics of a resilience warning (bullish) signal.
Three, Conclusions on Trend Directions
The price trend is volatile (with a bullish bias in terms of resistance to decline), for the following reasons:
1. Mean difference indicator level: The 5-day and 10-day mean differences remain stable, while the 20-day mean difference has rebounded from the previous day. The trends are not entirely consistent, which aligns with the resistance to decline warning judgment in a volatile market under the mean difference method. 2. Spot price level: The price of heavy soda ash on the day remained stable at 1090 CNY/ton, with the price at a low point over multiple cycles, having strong support below and limited room for decline.
Four, Spatial Reference
The price levels for heavy-grade soda ash—on 1-year, 3-month, and 60-day cycles—are all at low levels, with limited room for further decline. If downstream demand picks up, a temporary rebound could occur.
V. Trend Chart Display
Six, Reference of Upstream and Downstream of the Industry Chain
- Upstream products: Industrial salt, raw salt
- Downstream products: soda ash, anhydrous sodium acetate, sodium thiosulfate, anhydrous calcium chloride, trisodium citrate, sodium bromide, sodium bisulfite, sodium fluoride, sodium nitrate, sodium hexametaphosphate, sodium tripolyphosphate, sodium nitrite, sodium hypochlorite, sodium pyrosulfite, bromine, xylitol, alumina, disodium hydrogen phosphate, trisodium phosphate, cryolite, sodium bicarbonate, water glass, glass, borax
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
