The latest average data shows a clear upward trend in acetic acid prices, supported by recent price increases in many regions of China, smooth sales from companies, and improved downstream demand. The short-term market is expected to remain strong. Considering the price levels over different periods, the 1-year cycle is at a medium-low position, indicating limited downward potential, while the 3-month cycle is at a medium-high position, suggesting that the short-term upward potential may be somewhat constrained.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today’s Value (2026-08-19) | Yesterday’s Value (2026-08-18) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 28.66 | 17.00 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 14.67 | 3.00 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -45.83 | -52.34 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
Three differences all changed in the same direction as the previous day (all “+”), which is a clear signal of an increase.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The price trend is clearly upward. Reason: The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages are all showing an upward trend compared to the previous day, and the direction of change in the moving averages is completely consistent, meeting the criteria for a clearly upward trend. Additionally, recent fundamentals show that acetic acid prices have increased in multiple regions in China, including North China, Shandong, South China, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang, with increases ranging from 5 to 50 CNY per ton. Companies are experiencing smooth sales, and downstream demand is following, with market sentiment remaining firm, further supporting the upward price trend.
Four, Spatial Reference
1 year cycle price position: in the middle to lower range, with relatively limited downside space. * Price positioning for the 3-month cycle: Mid-to-high range; short-term upside potential may be somewhat limited. 60-day cycle price position: median, with relatively balanced oscillation space
V. Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
