This analysis, based on the method of mean difference, indicates that isooctanol is currently in a strong rebound phase with a bullish trend in late September 2026. On September 29, the ex-factory price of isooctanol from Shandong Lihuayi increased by 50 CNY/ton compared to the previous day, indicating a short-term improvement in bullish sentiment. However, due to the price being at a high level within the nearly one-year cycle, the overall upward space is limited. Industry players should also pay attention to the support for isooctanol prices provided by the price fluctuations of upstream propylene raw materials and changes in the production demand for downstream plasticizers such as DOP and DOTP.
Data Description
The latest available data for isooctanol spot prices in China is up to September 29, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Difference Type | Today’s Value (2026.9.29) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.9.28) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | -76.66 | -120 | + |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | -86.67 | -121.67 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | -246.67 | -190.83 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (+, +, -), which align with the characteristics of a strong rebound (bullish, rebound nature) signal under a volatile range in China.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend of 2-ethylhexanol is oscillating with a bullish bias. The reason is that the changes in the three averages compared to the previous day are not completely consistent, thus the overall situation is in an oscillating pattern. Among them, the 5-day and 10-day differences have narrowed compared to the previous day (moving closer to zero from a more negative position), indicating that the short-term bullish force has been somewhat restored, with a clear rebound attribute.
4. Spatial Reference
From the perspective of price range division:
Over the past year, prices have remained in the fifth tier (high levels), leaving limited room for further overall gains.
In the past 60 days, the price in China has been in the 4th tier (moderately high) for a 3-month cycle. The ceiling effect of a short-term rebound is gradually becoming apparent. If there is no significant positive support from the downstream demand side, the sustainability of the rebound remains to be observed.
V. One-Year Price Trend Chart for 2-Ethylhexanol
VI. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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