This daily report is based on the latest average price data of heavy soda ash as of October 14, 2026. Through the mean difference method, it is determined that the current operation of heavy soda ash in China shows a volatile and bearish pattern, with prices across multiple periods remaining in a low range, indicating limited room for further decline. The following is a detailed analysis.
I. Table of Finite Differences
| Type of Average Difference | Today’s Value (2026.10.14) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.10.13) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Difference (D5) | -6.57 | -7.43 | + |
| 10-Day Average Difference (D10) | -2.86 | -1.85 | - |
| 20-Day Average Difference (D20) | -1.71 | -1.07 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current combination of changes in the three differences compared to the previous day is (+, -, -), which is a signal of weak rebound (bearish).
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend of heavy soda ash is fluctuating, because the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are not completely consistent, which meets the criteria for a fluctuating market. Additionally, the current signal indicates a weak rebound with a bearish bias, and there is no clear upward momentum in the short term.
IV. Positional Space Reference
The prices of heavy soda ash for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all in the first tier (low‑price range), leaving limited room for further declines.
Five, 1 Year Price Trend Chart
Six, Data Explanation
The most recent available data is up to October 14, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
