This analysis is based on the latest publicly available data as of October 26, 2026. Currently, the DOP price is at a high level for the past year, three months, and 60-day cycles. Short-term average difference signals indicate a weak rebound (bearish) in a volatile trend. The high prices of upstream raw materials, such as 2-ethylhexanol and phthalic anhydride, provide some support to the cost. However, with prices already at a high level, the room for further increases is limited. Recently, manufacturers have continuously raised their quotes, but there is a need to be cautious about the risk of a subsequent pullback after the surge.
Data Description
The latest available data is up to October 26, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Finite Differences
| Difference Type | Value on October 26, 2026 | Value on October 25, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 21.67 | 3.34 | + |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 18.92 | 20.5 | - |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 49.7 | 62.66 | - |
II. Signal Status and Trend Assessment
Signal Status Judgment: The current mean difference change combination is (+, -, -), which belongs to a weak rebound (bearish) signal.
Trend Direction Conclusion: The short-term price trend is range-bound. Reason: The three moving averages did not all change in the same direction as the previous day, failing to meet the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend. Currently, the market is in a weak rebound phase within the trading range, with an overall bearish bias.
III. Positional Space Reference
Prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all at the upper end of the fifth decile (the highest 20% range within each cycle), leaving limited room for further gains and building upward‑pressure risks.
IV. Price Trend Chart for the Past Year
V. Market Overview Supplement
Manufacturer quotes: On October 26, several Chinese DOP producers raised their prices, with increases ranging from RMB 100 to 250 per ton. Actual transaction prices followed suit, and overall plant utilization rates remained at normal levels.
Industry chain: Upstream raw materials—iso‑octanol and phthalic anhydride—are both at elevated price levels, providing some support to DOP costs; downstream, PVC plasticizer procurement remains tepid, with weak demand-side support.
VI. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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