On August 11, mainstream manufacturers in the DOP spot market generally raised their quoted prices, with price increases ranging from 50 to 100 CNY per ton. The mean-reversion indicator suggests that the current market is in a moderately bullish and volatile state, signaling an early warning of resistance to further declines. Prices over the past year are at the median level, and the short-term upside and downside potential will require closer monitoring in light of upstream and downstream production activities and demand conditions.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-11) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-10) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -22.5 | -7.5 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 10 | -5 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -24.58 | -21.25 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current combination of mean difference change directions is (-, +, -), which constitutes an anti-dip warning (bullish) signal.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias), reason: the changes in the three differences from the previous day are not completely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating market; at the same time, the bullish signal corresponding to the resistance to decline warning indicates that there is some support in the market.
IV. Spatial Reference
1 year cycle price position: median, with a certain degree of flexibility for both increases and decreases; 60-day cycle price position: at a medium-high level, with potential for short-term gains possibly being somewhat limited; Price position for the 3-month cycle: mid-to-low range; the medium-term price has a solid support base.
V. Price Trend Chart
On August 11, Shandong Saint Peak Chemical DOP was quoted at 8,805 CNY/ton, an increase of 100 CNY/ton; Dongying Yimei De Chemical was quoted at 8,750 CNY/ton, an increase of 50 CNY/ton; Zhenjiang Liancheng Chemical was quoted at 8,900 CNY/ton, an increase of 50 CNY/ton; Zhejiang Hongbo New Materials was quoted at 9,000 CNY/ton, an increase of 100 CNY/ton. The actual transaction prices of major manufacturers in China also increased accordingly.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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