The latest monitoring data shows that the price of heavy soda ash is at a low point for 60 days, 3 months, and 1 year cycles, with relatively limited room for further decline; in terms of the average difference indicator, the 20-day average difference has narrowed compared to yesterday, combined with the 5-day and 10-day average differences remaining unchanged, currently presenting a resilient warning signal. Subsequently, it is necessary to closely monitor the supply of industrial salt upstream, changes in demand from downstream industries such as glass, and fluctuations in market sentiment in China.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Deviation Type | Today’s Value (2026-08-19) | Yesterday’s Value (2026-08-18) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Deviation (D5) | 0.00 (Today’s Price 1090.00 – 5-Day Average 1090.00) | 0.00 (Today’s Price 1090.00 – 5-Day Average 1090.00) | Flat |
| 10-Day Average Deviation (D10) | 0.00 (5-Day Average 1090.00 – 10-Day Average 1090.00) | 0.00 (5-Day Average 1090.00 – 10-Day Average 1090.00) | Flat |
| 20-Day Average Deviation (D20) | -2.14 (10-Day Average 1090.00 – 20-Day Average 1092.14) | -4.64 (10-Day Average 1090.00 – 20-Day Average 1094.64) | Up |
II. Signal State Determination
Because the 5-day and 10-day average differences are the same as yesterday, and the 20-day average difference has narrowed compared to yesterday (approaching 0 from a negative value), combined with the characteristic of prices being at a low point in multiple cycles, it is determined to be a resilience warning (bullish) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The price trend is volatile (resilient warning, bullish bias). Reason: The 5-day and 10-day average differences remain flat, while the 20-day average difference has narrowed compared to yesterday. The directions of the three are not entirely consistent, fitting the definition of volatility. At the same time, the price is at a low point in the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles, with limited downside potential. Combined with the resilient signs of the narrowing 20-day average difference, the overall outlook is bullish.
Four, Spatial Reference
- 60-day cycle price position: low, with limited downside room.
- Price position in the 3-month cycle: Low, with limited downside potential. 1 year cycle price position: low, with limited downside space
Five, Trend Chart Display
Six, Reference of Upstream and Downstream of the Industry Chain in China
- Upstream products: Industrial salt, raw salt
- Downstream products: composite alkali, anhydrous sodium acetate, sodium thiosulfate, anhydrous calcium chloride, trisodium citrate, sodium bromide, sodium bisulfite, sodium fluoride, sodium nitrate, sodium hexametaphosphate, sodium tripolyphosphate, sodium nitrite, sodium hypochlorite, sodium pyrosulfite, bromine, xylitol, aluminum oxide, disodium hydrogen phosphate, trisodium phosphate, cryolite, sodium bicarbonate, water glass, glass, borax
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
