Today, the average spot price of 2-ethylhexanol is 8,833.33 CNY/ton, a slight decrease from the previous day. Using the mean difference method, it can be determined that the current 2-ethylhexanol price is in a deep corrective phase with a clear bearish attribute. The price is already at a high point in the nearly 1-year cycle, with limited room for further increases. Industry participants should closely monitor changes in demand in the downstream plasticizer sector and the price trend of upstream propylene in China.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Value on 2026.08.26 | Value on 2026.08.25 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -53.34 | 0 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 173.34 | 236.67 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 250 | 246.66 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current combination of the three mean difference change directions is (－, －, ＋), which belongs to a deep correction (bearish, corrective nature) signal.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The current price trend of 2-ethylhexanol is fluctuating. Reason: The direction of change in the three averages compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear increase or decrease. Overall, it is in a bearish correction phase.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Isobutanol 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all at the 5th level (high), with limited room for further increases, and there is a possibility of further corrections in the future.
5. 1-Year Trend Chart Display
Sixth, Additional Market Dynamics
Supply side: On August 26, 2026, Shandong Hualu Hengsheng (with an annual production capacity of 200,000 tons of iso-octanol) was operating normally. The factory price was 9,000 CNY/ton, a decrease of 200 CNY/ton from the previous trading day.
At the industrial chain level: The current price of upstream feedstock propylene is at a high level seen in nearly the past year, providing relatively stable cost support. Downstream mainstream plasticizer products such as DOP and DBP are all trading at elevated prices, yet demand-side momentum remains weak, thus failing to provide sufficient support for iso-octanol.
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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