September 8 news
Recently, Chinese ammonium sulfate manufacturers have successively raised their ex-factory quotes. The export data from January to July 2026 grew by 3.97% year-over-year, supporting the fundamental performance. Based on the average difference analysis, the current price of ammonium sulfate is in a clear upward trend. In the short term, it is at a high position in the 60-day cycle, and there is a need to be cautious about the pressure of a pullback. In the long term, it is still in a low to mid-range position in the 1-year cycle, leaving some room for further increases. The positive supply and demand situation continues to support the price.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Indicator | (2026.09.07) | (2026.09.06) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 30.67 | 4.00 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 10.33 | 5.66 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 14.33 | 12.50 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
Clearly indicate an upward signal
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
Clearly rising
Reason: The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day differences all show the same direction of change as the previous day, all being positive changes, and all three difference values are positive, which meets the criteria for a clear upward trend according to the method of mean differences.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle: The price is at the 5th level (high), with limited short-term upside potential, and there is a need to be cautious of the risk of a pullback after a surge.
2. 3-month cycle: Prices are in the first tier (low level), with limited room for mid-term decline;
3. 1-year cycle: Prices are at the second level (mid-to-low range), and there is still some room for upward movement in the long term.
Five, Price Trend Chart of the Past 1 Year in China
Six, Fundamental Reference Information
1. Manufacturer quotes: On September 7, 2026, Hualu Hengsheng Chemical's capping grade ammonium sulfate bulk material ex-factory price was 1,180 CNY/ton, and the power plant grade ammonium sulfate was 1,015 CNY/ton, with prices increasing; on September 3, Shandong Luxi Chemical's capping grade ammonium sulfate ex-factory price increased by 20 CNY/ton to 1,120 CNY/ton, with overall manufacturer quotes showing an upward trend.
2. Export Data: From January to July 2026, the cumulative export volume of ammonium sulfate reached 11.4762 million tons, an increase of 4.385 million tons compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.97%. Strong external demand is providing support for prices.
VII. Data Description and Risk Disclosure
The latest available data is up to September 7, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data. The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
