September 15 news
This daily report is based on the latest spot price data for ammonium sulfate as of September 14, 2026. The analysis using the mean difference method shows that the current price of ammonium sulfate is in a stagnation warning state. The 60-day cycle price is in a high range, with limited short-term upside potential. The 1-year cycle price is in the mid-to-low range, indicating that there is still support for medium- to long-term upward movement. The following are the specific analysis details.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Deviation Indicators | (2026.09.14) | (2026.09.13) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Deviation (D5) | 8.00 | 6.67 | + |
| 10-day Mean Deviation (D10) | 19.33 | 21.00 | - |
| 20-day Mean Deviation (D20) | 29.00 | 27.33 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (+, -, +), corresponding to a stagflation warning (bearish) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend is oscillating with a bearish bias. Reason: The direction of change in the three averages compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend. Additionally, the combination of changes aligns with the bearish characteristics of a stagnation warning. In the short term, there is insufficient upward momentum, and there is a need for adjustment.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle: The price is at the 5th level (high), with limited short-term upside potential and significant downward pressure.
3-month cycle: Price is in the 2nd tier (mid-to-low range);
1 year cycle: The price is in the 2nd tier (moderately low), and there is still room for upward movement after a medium to long-term adjustment.
V. Recent Price Trends from Manufacturers
September 14, 2026: The latest ex-factory quote for ammonium sulfate of Grade A from Shandong Luxi Chemical is 1,200 CNY per ton, up 10 CNY per ton. Actual transactions are primarily based on negotiated prices.
September 11, 2026: Shandong Luxi Chemical’s caprolactam-grade ammonium sulfate was quoted at 1,180 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton; Hualu Hengsheng’s bulk caprolactam-grade ammonium sulfate was quoted at 1,200 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton; power plant-grade ammonium sulfate was quoted at 1,015 CNY/ton, with prices remaining stable.
September 10, 2026: Hualu Hengsheng’s grade-1 ammonium sulfate bulk price was reported at 1,190 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton; the power plant-grade ammonium sulfate price remained stable at 1,015 CNY/ton.
September 9, 2026: Shandong Luxi Chemical’s grade-A ammonium sulfate was quoted at 1,160 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton.
6. Trend Chart Display
VII. Risk Warning
The latest available data is up to September 14, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data. The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
