[Key Takeaway] In the short term, 1,4-butanediol is in a strong consolidation phase characterized by bullish volatility. With robust cost support, downward momentum remains weak, and prices are at year-to-date highs, leaving limited room for further gains in the near term.
The latest available 1,4-butanediol price data for China is up to September 22, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.09.22 | Value on 2026.09.21 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 263.33 | 376.67 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 194.17 | 180.00 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 288.75 | 252.08 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
When the three consecutive divided differences change in the sequence (-, +, +), it constitutes a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current 1,4-butanediol price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias), due to the following reasons: the direction of change in the three averages compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating trend; the bullish attribute comes from a strong consolidation signal, coupled with high prices of upstream raw materials such as maleic anhydride, calcium carbide, and formaldehyde, providing robust cost support. Downstream demand in areas like PTMEG and PBAT remains stable, leaving insufficient momentum for price declines.
4. Positional Space Reference
The prices of 1,4-butanediol for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all at the fifth tier—high levels—within the five-tier pricing structure. Short-term upside is limited, and under cost support, the potential for price declines is also relatively modest.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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