This analysis is based on the latest 2-hexanol average difference data, mainstream manufacturer quotes, and price position indicators as of September 28, 2026. The current 2-hexanol price is in a rebound phase with a bearish bias. Over a 1-year period, the price is at a high level, with limited room for further increases. In the short term, the price still faces downward pressure due to weak demand from downstream sectors. The following is the detailed analysis:
I. Table of Finite Differences
| Average Difference Type | Value as of 2026.09.28 | Value as of 2026.09.27 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Average Difference (D5) | -120.00 CNY/ton | 0.00 CNY/ton | - |
| 10-Day Average Difference (D10) | -121.67 CNY/ton | -155.00 CNY/ton | + |
| 20-Day Average Difference (D20) | -190.83 CNY/ton | -130.83 CNY/ton | - |
Note: The latest available data on isooctanol in China is up to September 28, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Signal State Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (-, +, -), which align with the characteristics of a rebound (bearish) signal in a consolidation range in China.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current price trend of 2-ethylhexanol is oscillating with a bearish bias. The reason for this judgment is that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating trend. Additionally, the bearish rebound signals indicate insufficient short-term upward momentum and significant downward pressure.
4. Spatial Reference
Isobutanol prices for 60-day and 3-month cycles in China are at a mid-high level (4th tier), while the 1-year cycle price is at a high level (5th tier). The potential for further increases is very limited, but there is still some room for short-term declines.
V. Fundamental Evidence
On the producer‑quote side, on September 28, Luxi Chemical’s iso‑octanol price was RMB 9,100 per ton, down RMB 300 per ton from the previous day; Shandong Lihua Yi’s iso‑octanol factory price stood at RMB 8,900 per ton, a decrease of RMB 150 per ton from the day before. Since late September, mainstream producers have been steadily lowering their quotes, and spot‑market sales pressure has become increasingly pronounced.
Industry chain: Upstream propylene prices have recently been trading at high levels before weakening, with diminishing cost‑side support; downstream plasticizers such as DOP and DBP are experiencing weak demand, leading to subdued purchasing interest in iso‑octanol and clear downward pressure on the demand side.
VI. Trend Chart Display
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
(Source: China)
