September 1st News
[Key Point] MTBE is currently in a clear downward trend in the short term and is at a cyclical high. Downstream demand remains weak, coupled with lower quotes from major producing regions, leaving room for further price declines in the future.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Average Difference Type | Value as of 2026.08.31 | Value as of 2026.08.30 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -40.00 | -2.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 64.20 | 94.60 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 212.00 | 215.10 | - |
2. Signal Status Determination
Clearly declining
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is clearly downward.
Reason: The changes in all three averages from the previous day are consistently negative, meeting the clear downward trend criteria of the average difference method; in terms of fundamentals, MTBE manufacturers in Shandong, a major production area in China, have continuously lowered their quotes, while Asian MTBE prices have been weakening. The downstream demand for gasoline blending is not keen on chasing higher prices, which puts pressure on the price.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
MTBE 60-day and 3-month cycle prices are both in the 5th tier (high), with limited short-term upside potential and ample room for downward movement; the 1-year cycle price is in the 4th tier (mid-high), with weaker long-term momentum for further increases.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
