This analysis, based on the method of mean difference and the latest spot price data, forecasts the short-term price trend of DOP as follows: The current DOP price is in the high range over the past year, showing a short-term fluctuating but slightly upward retracement trend. The cost support from upstream raw materials still exists, but with limited room for further increases at such high prices. Attention should be paid to the impact of changes in downstream demand on prices.
Data Explanation
The latest available data is up to November 8, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Finite Differences
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value on November 8, 2026 | Value on November 7, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | -28.34 | -56.5 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 6.25 | 66.16 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 213.96 | 205.96 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current three deviation change direction combinations are (+, -, +), which belong to a retest (bullish) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The short-term trend is choppy, because the three moving averages did not all change in the same direction compared with the previous day, which is consistent with a ranging market; the bullish bias stems from support at the pullback level.
4. Spatial Reference
Prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year DOP cycles are all in the fifth tier (high range), leaving limited room for further increases, while cost-side support keeps short-term price declines relatively contained.
V. Upstream and Downstream References
Upstream 2-Ethylhexanol (2-EH) and Phthalic Anhydride are currently at high prices, supporting the cost of DOP. Downstream, as a plasticizer for PVC, there are no significant signs of increased demand recently. From November 4 to 6, several DOP manufacturers in China continuously reduced their ex-factory quotes by 50-250 CNY per ton.
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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