Market Analysis - Annual Report -April, 2020- Paracetamol
Analyst: Steven
1.Overview of the Current Market Situation
In April 2020, the price of paracetamol is stable, the main reasons are as follows
1.From the supply side, in April, mainstream domestic manufacturers of paracetamol have stable prices and factory orders have slowed down. At present, the delivery date has been arranged to the end of June and the beginning of July, and the factory mainly focuses on the delivery of orders in February and March.
2.From the upstream raw materials, the main raw materials for paracetamol in April, Anhui Bayi Chemical's 4-Aminophenol price is stable, without continuing to increase prices, the stability of the price of 4-Aminophenol promoted the stability of the price of paracetamol.
3.Downstream demand side, at present, the main procurement periods of major foreign markets in Africa, Southeast Asia are in February and March, customers in the above market areas are waiting for the pre-order shipment and don’t have demand in the short term. For South American there will be a small amount of demand market and high price acceptance.
4.DC90, DC96 and micro powder are affected by the price increase of paracetamol original powder, and the current price is also at a high level and needs to be customized.

2.Price Offer and Factory Operation
| Factory |
Capacity per year |
Market |
| Lu'an |
40,000 MT |
Different quotation strategies varying from Europe, Africa, South America and Southeast Asia. |
| BBCA |
15,000 MT
|
Uniform quotations are implemented in various markets and their product cannot be exported to Europe. |
| Hebei Jiheng (Group) Pharmaceutical |
20,000 MT |
African markets can be quoted normally, and other markets have specialized agents |
| Bofa |
15,000 MT |
The quality of the products is lower than that of similar manufacturers. They mainly export to low-end market. |

3.Market Forecast
The trend of paracetamol in April 2020 is just like the previous forecast, has already broken the 5USD / KG mark, The price is high. In May, the price of paracetamol is predicted to remain stable at 5.3USD / KG-5.5USD / KG, and there is a high probability that it will not continue to increase.
| Factor |
Explanation |
|
Market demand |
The main procurement periods of major foreign markets in Africa, Southeast Asia are in February and March, customers in the above market areas are waiting for the pre-order shipment and don’t have demand in the short term. There will be a small amount of demand in the South American market and high price acceptance. |
| Inventory |
The inventory of the three factories is almost zero, and the original powder of paracetamol has been delivered mainly in the pre-order. |
| Factory determination to raise prices |
Weak market demand in April, weak factory willingness to increase prices, and current stable prices. |
| Upstream raw materials |
The price of Anhui Bayi Chemical's 4-Aminophenol is stable |
2026-10-14
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