August 12th, news:
Based on the mean difference indicator, on August 11, 2026, the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day mean differences of EVA all showed a negative change compared to the previous day, indicating a clear downward trend in the short-term price; the price is at a low point in the 1-year cycle, with limited room for further decline, while it is at a high point in the 60-day cycle, with limited room for increase. Combined with the reduction in factory prices by Yangzi BASF and the market performance of small-scale inquiries from downstream buyers based on demand, the short-term market is showing an adjustment trend.
I. Mean Difference Signal Analysis
Difference type 2026-08-11 value 2026-08-10 value Direction of change
5-day average difference (D5) -30.00 -15.00 -
10-day average difference (D10) -10.00 -5.00 -
20-day average difference (D20) 58.33 83.33 -
Signal status determination: Clearly falling (the three average differences compared to the previous day are all negative and in the same direction)
Trend Direction Conclusion: The short-term price trend is clearly downward, with the average difference indicator meeting the criteria for a clear downward trend. Combined with upstream factories adjusting prices and weak downstream transactions in China, short-term adjustment pressures are becoming evident.
II. Price and Location Reference
1 year cycle: Prices are at a low level, with limited room for decline;
3-month cycle: Prices are at a mid-to-low level and exhibit some support;
60-day cycle: Prices are at a high level, with limited room for further increases and significant short-term downward pressure.
III. Market Trends and Developments
Regional Market: On August 11, the EVA market in the Shanghai area remained largely stable with slight fluctuations. The mainstream price for Formosa 7470M from Ningbo was 99,500-101,500 CNY/ton, and the mainstream price for Silane V6020M was 102,000-103,500 CNY/ton. In the Beijing area, the market was consolidating at high levels, with the mainstream price for Silane V6020M at 97,000-99,000 CNY/ton. Downstream inquiries were mainly for small orders based on demand, and transactions were weak.
Factory Price Adjustment: On August 10, Yangzi BASF Petrochemical lowered the EVA factory price. The price of V5110J was reduced to 9,850 CNY per ton, a decrease of 150 CNY per ton, prompting adjustments in market expectations.
IV. Trend Chart Display
Five, Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
