August 14 news
On August 14, 2026, looking at the caustic soda fundamentals in China, the changes in the three indicators are (+, -, flat), which indicates that the change directions are not completely consistent, and thus it is determined to be a fluctuation. Looking at the combination, there is a flat situation here. However, according to the rules, if the directions are not completely consistent, it is considered a fluctuation. Combining the actual data, we need to determine which specific type of fluctuation it is. However, the original six types of fluctuations in the rules are based on positive and negative combinations, and since there is a flat situation here, it may need to be specified as a narrow fluctuation or determined based on the actual situation. The following is a detailed analysis:
1. Average Deviation Change Table
2. Signal Status Determination
Fluctuation (the directions of change in the three moving averages are not entirely consistent).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Market volatility. Reason: The 5-day moving average difference rose compared to yesterday, the 10-day moving average difference fell compared to yesterday, and the 20-day moving average difference remained unchanged—indicating inconsistent directions in the moving average differences. Meanwhile, this week, the capacity utilization rate of caustic soda sample enterprises declined slightly by 0.7% from the previous week to 77.1%. Inventory at fixed liquid caustic soda plants nationwide with a capacity of 200,000 tons or more increased by 5.24% from the previous week. Prices remained stable in some regions but showed localized fluctuations in others. Downstream purchasing activity has become diversified, and the overall market is exhibiting a volatile trend.
4. Position Space Reference
1 year cycle price is at a low level, with limited room for decline; the 3 month cycle is at a medium-low level, providing some support against decline.
5. Trend chart display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
