October 13th, news
[Key Takeaway] In the short term, ethanol is in a strong consolidation phase characterized by volatile yet bullish momentum, with prices at elevated levels on the near-term time frame and limited upside potential.
Data Explanation
The most recent available data is up to October 12, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.12 | Value on 2026.10.11 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference | 6.89 | 12.89 | - |
| 10-Day Difference | 11.55 | 8.55 | + |
| 20-Day Difference | 10.56 | 10.50 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
When the three consecutive divided differences change in the sequence (-, +, +), it constitutes a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current price trend is a bullish consolidation. Reason: The changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving average differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for a consolidation pattern, and overall it is in a strong consolidation phase with a bullish bias; on the fundamental level, the production of downstream products such as ethyl acetate and methyl ethyl carbonate is stable and increasing, providing some support for ethanol demand.
4. Positional Space Reference
Ethanol 60-day and 3-month cycle prices are in the 5th tier (high, within the top 20% range of the cycle), with limited short-term upside potential; 1-year cycle prices are in the 3rd tier (middle, within the 40%-60% range of the cycle), and there is still some room for medium to long-term volatility.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
