August 17 news
The current EVA price is maintaining a stable trend, with the average difference indicator showing a fluctuating pattern. Considering the characteristics of a low point in the 1-year cycle, the short-term downward space is limited. At the same time, the high point in the 60-day cycle constrains the upward space. It is necessary to continuously monitor the upstream and downstream demand and market transaction conditions in China.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-16) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-15) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 0 | 0 | Flat |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -15 | -20 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -17.5 | -15 | - |
II. Signal Status Determination
Resilience Alert (Bullish)
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
Oscillation. Reason: The change directions of the three average differences are not completely consistent (5-day average difference is flat, 10-day average difference is rising, 20-day average difference is falling), which does not meet the clear trend consistency condition, so the price is in an oscillation pattern; combined with the characteristics of the average difference combination, it shows a resilient warning (bullish) signal.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Over a one-year period, the EVA price is in the first tier (low level), with limited downside potential; over a 60-day period, it’s in the fifth tier (high level), capping its short-term upside potential; and over a three-month period, it’s at a mid-to-low level. Overall, in this volatile market environment, both upward and downward price movements are constrained.
Five, Market Conditions Supplement
On August 11, 2026, the EVA market in Shanghai remained generally stable with minor fluctuations. Downstream buyers placed inquiries based on their specific needs, leading to a slight consolidation in the market. At Ningbo Taiplast, the mainstream price for 7470M was reported at RMB 9,950–10,150 per ton, while the mainstream price for Sinopec’s V6020M was reported at RMB 10,200–10,350 per ton. In Beijing, the EVA market continued to trade at higher levels, with downstream buyers mainly placing small orders and transactions remaining sluggish. The mainstream price for Sinopec’s V6020M in Beijing was reported at RMB 9,700–9,900 per ton.
6. Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
