Today, the MIBK spot price remained stable, with the average difference indicator showing that the market has entered a fluctuation range. The 20-day average difference turning from negative to positive signals a slightly bullish trend. The price is currently in the middle range of the 1-year cycle, with relatively balanced short-term upside and downside potential. Attention needs to be paid to the further impact of supply and demand changes in the upstream and downstream of the industry chain on the market.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-17) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-16) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 0.00 | 0.00 | Unchanged |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 1.67 | 1.67 | Unchanged |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 10.00 | -3.33 | Rising (+) |
II. Signal Status Determination
Three differences compared to the previous day do not all change in the same direction (two remain unchanged, one rises), which falls under the category of a resilient warning signal (favoring an upward trend) in a volatile market.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current MIBK price trend is oscillating. Reason: The 5-day average difference, 10-day average difference are the same as yesterday, and the 20-day average difference has turned from negative to positive. The directions of the three average differences are not completely unified, which meets the criteria for an oscillating market; the 20-day average difference turning positive indicates strong short-term support at the lower end, showing a characteristic of a slightly bullish consolidation.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle price position: median, with relatively balanced room for increase and decrease
Price position for the 3-month cycle: Mid-to-low range, with some upward support.
1 year cycle price position: median, with no significant room for increase or decrease
Five, Trend Chart Display
Six, Reference of the Industrial Chain in China
Upstream products in the MIBK industrial chain: diacetone alcohol, isopropyl alcohol, and acetone; downstream products: dewaxing agents, extractants, antioxidants, and solvents.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
