This short-term trend analysis of DOP spot price based on the method of mean difference shows that the current DOP mean difference combination is (+, -, -), corresponding to a weak rebound (bearish) signal. The overall price is in a fluctuation range, with the 1-year cycle price at a mid-high level, and there is limited room for a short-term increase. The high prices of upstream 2-ethylhexanol and phthalic anhydride still provide support to the cost side, but one should be cautious of the risk of a pullback after the rebound.
Data Description
The latest available data is up to September 1, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of September 1, 2026 | Value as of August 31, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 70 | 61.67 | + |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 35 | 41.67 | - |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 201.67 | 215 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current combination of mean difference change directions is (+, -, -), corresponding to a weak rebound signal (bearish bias).
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The current price trend is oscillating (with a bearish bias). The rationale for this judgment is: the changes in the three averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. This indicates a weak rebound signal within an oscillating range, and there is downward pressure after the rebound.
4. Spatial Reference
The DOP 1-year cycle price is at a medium-to-high level, corresponding to the 4th tier of the 5-tier scale. Upside potential is limited, and there’s insufficient momentum to continue pushing higher.
V. Chart Display
6. Cost End Reference
The current prices of upstream raw materials for DOP—iso-octanol and phthalic anhydride—are both at their highest levels in the past year, providing some support to DOP costs. It is important to pay close attention to how fluctuations in upstream prices may affect the trend of DOP.
VII. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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