As of September 6, 2026, the price of heavy soda ash in China has remained unchanged for several consecutive days. The short, medium, and long-term moving averages have tended to stabilize, with the mean difference indicators showing a weak recovery trend. Currently, the prices of soda ash over 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in a low range, with very limited room for further decline. The high price of industrial salt upstream provides some support to the cost side, while downstream demand has not shown any significant increase. In the short term, it is likely to maintain a low-level, slightly strong consolidation trend.
I. Data Description
The latest available data is up to September 6, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Deviation Indicator | Value as of September 6, 2026 | Value as of September 5, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Deviation (D5) | 0.00 | 0.00 | Flat |
| 10-day Average Deviation (D10) | 0.00 | 0.00 | Flat |
| 20-day Average Deviation (D20) | -1.14 | -1.29 | Up |
III. Signal State Determination
The current deviation change direction combination is (flat, flat, +), which belongs to a resilience warning (biased towards bullish) signal, indicating that the downward momentum continues to weaken.
IV. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current price trend is a strong bias in low-level fluctuation, reasons: the directions of the three average differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, which is in line with the characteristics of fluctuation. The 20-day average difference continues to narrow negatively, indicating that the long-term downward momentum is gradually being released. Combined with the support from the cost side, the trend is biased towards strength.
V. Positional Spatial Reference
Soda ash 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 1st tier (low position), with very limited room for decline. If there is a positive stimulus in demand in the future, it has the potential to rise.
Six, Reference of the Industrial Chain
- Upstream: The current 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices of industrial salt are all at high levels, providing strong support for the cost of soda ash in China.
- Downstream: The demand for downstream products such as glass, baking soda, borax, and disodium hydrogen phosphate remains flat, with no significant signs of increased volume. This has a limited impact on the price of soda ash.
7. Price Trend Chart for the Past 1 Year
8. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
