September 4th news
This analysis is based on the latest PVC price data from official sources as of September 3, 2026. Using the mean difference method, it was found that the current PVC is in a strong consolidation (bullish) fluctuation range. The short-term mean difference has slightly retreated, but the medium- to long-term mean difference continues to rise. The prices for 60-day and 3-month periods are at high levels, with limited short-term upside potential. The 1-year period is at a medium to low level, indicating some long-term upside potential. It is advisable to simultaneously track the price changes of upstream materials such as calcium carbide and ethylene, as well as the terminal demand changes for downstream products such as profiles and pipes.
Officially analyze the content after correction
I. Data Description
The latest available PVC price data is up to September 3, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today's Value (Sep 3, 2026) | Yesterday's Value (Sep 2, 2026) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | 48.00 | 163.00 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | 118.70 | 91.90 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | 28.30 | 18.30 | + |
III. Signal Status Determination
The current mean difference change symbol combination is (－, ＋, ＋), corresponding to the signal: strong consolidation (bullish).
IV. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The current PVC price trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias). The reason is that the changes in the three average differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating trend. Specifically, the short-term 5-day average difference has slightly decreased, while the medium- and long-term 10-day and 20-day average differences continue to rise, indicating that the overall bullish momentum still has support.
V. Positional Spatial Reference
| Statistical Period | Price Range | Impact on Upside Potential |
|---|---|---|
| 60-day period | Level 5 (High) | Short-term upside potential is limited |
| 3-month period | Level 5 (High) | Mid-term upside potential is constrained |
| 1-year period | Level 2 (Mid-to-Low) | Long-term, some upside potential remains |
6. Trend Chart Display
7. Industry Chain Reference
PVC upstream related commodities: chlorine, ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride, calcium carbide, ethylene
Downstream related products of PVC: PVC foam, PVC automotive parts, cables, wires, shoe soles, PVC profiles, toys, PVC pipes, synthetic leather, PVC sheets, PVC films.
Eight, Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
