September 8th, according to the news,
[Key Insight] Currently, methanol prices are at the upper end of the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year price cycles. The divergence signals indicate a warning of stagnation (leaning bearish). Short-term upward momentum is insufficient, and it’s highly likely that prices will continue to fluctuate within a high-range. We should be vigilant about the risk of a pullback triggered by downward adjustments in China’s spot quotes.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Average Difference Type | Today’s Value (2026.09.07) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.09.06) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 29.33 | -2.84 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 124.08 | 168.17 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 157.79 | 139.92 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
The current average difference change combination is (+, -, +), which is a stagflation warning (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current methanol price trend is fluctuating. Reason: The change in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, and does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend.
4. Location and Spatial Reference
Methanol prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods are all in the 5th tier (high) out of 5 tiers, indicating limited upside potential.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
