September 11th, according to reports
[Key Insight] 1,4-Butanediol is currently experiencing a deep, volatile pullback in the short term and is trending bearish. It’s currently at high levels across multiple timeframes, leaving limited room for further upward movement.
1. Average Difference Change Table
| Indicator | Today's Value (2026.09.10) | Yesterday's Value (2026.09.09) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 11.67 | 23.33 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 83.33 | 104.17 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 154.58 | 148.75 | + |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current mean difference combination is (-, -, +), which constitutes a deep pullback (bearish, pullback nature) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is volatile.
Reason: The changes in the three differences from the previous day are not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend, and the overall situation is in a fluctuation range. From a fundamental perspective, the prices of upstream raw materials such as carbide, maleic anhydride, and formaldehyde are all at high levels, providing some support to costs. However, the demand in downstream areas such as PTMEG and PBT is insufficient, with purchases mainly driven by necessity, leading to short-term price pressure and a trend towards a correction.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
Currently, the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year price cycles for 1,4-butanediol are all in the fifth tier (high range), leaving limited room for further price increases. Moreover, any pullbacks will be restrained by cost support, preventing prices from declining too sharply.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
