September 14th, news:
The latest available data is up to September 13, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current situation is a resistance to decline warning within a fluctuation range (favoring an increase).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is oscillating (with a bullish bias). Reason: The direction of change in the three averages compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent (D5 down, D10 up, D20 down), which does not meet the criteria for a clear trend, and thus it is determined to be oscillating. Additionally, there is fundamental support: recently, multiple acrylonitrile plants in China have been shut down for maintenance, and overseas plants also have plans for load reduction and maintenance, leading to an expectation of supply contraction. At the same time, the current production profit of acrylonitrile remains inverted (average production profit is -1,155 CNY/ton), increasing the manufacturers' willingness to maintain prices, highlighting the price's resistance to decline.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
Acrylonitrile 60-day and 3-month cycle prices are both in the 3rd tier (medium), while the 1-year cycle price is in the 4th tier (medium-high). The short-term fluctuation space is moderate, with cost support at the bottom and suppression by previous high points at the top.
5. Trend chart display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
