September 21st, according to reports
On September 20, 2026, the diesel price in China followed the slight downward trend of international crude oil prices, with the quotations for diesel from refineries in Northeast and Northwest China falling back to the range of 8800-9000 CNY/ton. Based on the average difference analysis, the current diesel market is in a weak rebound phase with a bearish bias, and the price is at a high level within the recent one-year cycle, with limited room for further increases. It is recommended to pay attention to the upstream crude oil price fluctuations and the impact of European finished oil policies on the market.
Diesel Price Daily Report
I. Data Description
The latest available data is up to September 20, 2026, and it is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Finite Differences
| Mean Difference Indicator | Value as of September 20, 2026 | Value as of September 19, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | -38.28 | -43.85 | + |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | 20.07 | 47.17 | - |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | 216.87 | 237.93 | - |
Three, Signal Status Determination
The current mean difference change symbol combination is (+, -, -), which belongs to a weak rebound (bearish) signal.
IV. Conclusions on Trend Directions
The current trend in diesel prices is volatile (with a bearish bias), due to the fact that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for a volatile market, with the corresponding signal indicating a weak rebound with a bearish bias.
Five, Positional Spatial Reference
Over the past year, diesel prices have remained in the fifth tier of the five-tier pricing structure—near their peak—leaving limited room for further increases.
VI. Fundamental Analysis Reference
Upstream: International crude oil futures closed lower from September 18 to 20, leading to a decline in the prices of refined oil products from Chinese independent refineries. Diesel quotes in the northeast and northwest regions have decreased by about 100 CNY/ton compared to last week's high.
International: In France, 11% of gas stations are currently experiencing diesel shortages, with diesel prices approaching historic highs; Germany plans to implement a three-month fuel tax cut and a price cap on gasoline starting in October, which could subsequently ripple through global diesel supply and demand dynamics.
VII. Trend Chart Display
Eight, Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
