October 12th News
[Key Takeaway] In the short term, methanol is exhibiting a choppy, bearish rebound; currently trading near a one-year high, with limited upside potential. Investors should remain vigilant about volatility stemming from supply‑demand dynamics.
The latest available methanol data in China is up to October 11, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
1. Average Deviation Change Table
| Difference Type | Today’s Value (2026.10.11) | Yesterday’s Value (2026.10.10) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | -65.67 | 149.33 | - |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 107.84 | 92.84 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 117.58 | 132.08 | - |
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current average difference change combination is (-,+, -), which belongs to a rebound (bearish) signal.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is range-bound. Reason: The directional changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages are not fully consistent with the previous day, failing to meet the criteria for a clear uptrend or downtrend. Currently, methanol fundamentals are characterized by a tug-of-war between tight supply and weak demand: shrinking imports and low port inventories continue to provide price support; however, after a sharp rise in spot prices, downstream margins have been squeezed, leading to more cautious, demand‑driven purchasing and limited willingness to chase higher levels. Overall, the market is trending sideways with a slight bearish bias.
4. Positional Space Reference
Methanol prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods in China are all in the 5th tier (high), with limited room for short-term increases.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
