October 15th, according to news,
According to the SpotCom AI assistant, this period's monitoring data covers the Chinese fuel oil spot market from early October to October 14, 2026. The quotation range for low-sulfur fuel oil 180CST has remained stable for several consecutive days this week. Using the mean difference method, it is calculated that the current price is in a rebound phase with a bias towards a downward trend, and the long-term price is at a high level, with limited room for further increases. Relevant market participants can refer to supply and demand changes for decision-making.
I. Recent Market Quotation Trends
October 9, 2026 - October 14, 2026, China's low-sulfur fuel oil 180CST ex-works quotes remained stable at 7,400-8,000 CNY/ton, and low-sulfur 120CST ex-works quotes remained stable at 7,500-8,100 CNY/ton, with no significant fluctuations in spot prices during the week.
- Note: The latest available data is up to October 14, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Difference Analysis
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Calculated Value on 2026-10-14 | Calculated Value on 2026-10-13 | Direction of Change Compared to Previous Day |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Mean Difference (D5) | 30.00 | 40.00 | - |
| 10-Day Mean Difference (D10) | -12.50 | -25.00 | + |
| 20-Day Mean Difference (D20) | -10.63 | -6.25 | - |
2. Signal status determination
The current combination of the three differences is (－, ＋, －), corresponding to the rebound (bearish) signal in oscillation signals.
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current trend of fuel oil spot price in China is oscillating (with a bearish bias), due to the fact that the changes in the three averages compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, failing to meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend, and overall showing characteristics of a bearish rebound.
III. Positional Space Reference
The current fuel oil prices for 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year periods in China are all in the 5th tier (high) range, with limited room for further increases.
IV. Price Trend Chart
Five, Industrial Chain Prompts
Fuel oil's upstream industry is linked to shale oil and crude oil price trends, while its downstream industry is associated with changes in demand for diesel, gasoline, and carbon black. Subsequently, close attention should be paid to the impact of international crude oil price fluctuations, China's refined oil consumption, and changes in industrial operating rates on fuel oil prices.
VI. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
