October 15th, according to news from China,
[Key Takeaway] In the short term, MTBE is trading in a high‑range consolidation pattern with a slight bias toward the upside. Current prices are near one-year highs, leaving limited room for further gains, while downward moves remain relatively contained thanks to support from gasoline blending demand.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.14 | Value on 2026.10.13 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | -20.00 | -20.00 | No Change |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 116.25 | 145.00 | - |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 76.87 | 60.00 | + |
The latest available data is up to October 14, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
2. Signal Status Judgment
The current signal is retracement (biased towards long).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is choppy (slightly bullish).
Reason: The direction of change in the three differentials compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. Overall, it remains in a volatile range. From a fundamental perspective, the Asian MTBE overseas market continues to rise slightly. China's supply-side operating rate remains at a relatively low level, and there is still support for downstream gasoline blending demand. The narrowing of the 10-day differential in the short term is a normal pullback after a significant increase, and the overall bullish attribute has not changed.
4. Positional Space Reference
MTBE 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycle prices are all in the 5th tier (high, within the top 20% range of the cycle). The room for further short-term increases is limited, but with downstream demand support and strong methanol prices, the potential for a decline is also small.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
