October 19th, News
On October 18, 2026, the multi‑cycle moving averages of hydrofluoric acid showed partially divergent directional changes, leading to a market assessment of range-bound trading (strong consolidation, slightly bullish). By the 20th, the negative divergence of the moving averages had narrowed, suggesting a moderation in medium‑ to long‑term downward momentum. The 60‑day cycle remains at a mid‑to‑low level, limiting short‑term downside; the three‑month cycle is positioned at a mid‑to‑high level, with balanced medium‑term price dynamics; and the one‑year cycle stands at a high level, leaving limited room for further long‑term gains. Upstream fluorite prices have edged lower, while downstream refrigerant plant utilization remains subdued, prompting demand‑driven procurement and keeping prices broadly stable—aligning with the current range‑bound market conditions.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.18 | Value on 2026.10.17 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 0 | 0 | No Change |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 0 | 0 | No Change |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | -10 | -20 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
Volatility (strong consolidation, slightly bullish)
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Oscillation, reason: The 5-day and 10-day moving average differences have been flat for two consecutive days, with only the 20-day moving average difference increasing compared to the previous day. The changes in the three moving average differences are not completely consistent, indicating no clear unilateral upward or downward trend. The narrowing of the negative 20-day moving average difference suggests that the long-term downward momentum has somewhat eased. Fundamental validation: Upstream fluorspar prices have slightly decreased recently, while downstream refrigerant production rates are low. Hydrofluoric acid manufacturers are mainly purchasing on a needs basis, and prices remain stable, which is consistent with the characteristics of oscillation.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
The 60-day price cycle is in the second tier (mid-to-low range): short-term downside potential is limited. The 3-month price cycle is in the fourth tier (mid-to-high range): medium-term upside and downside are relatively balanced. The 1-year price cycle is in the fifth tier (high range): long-term upside potential is limited.
5. Trend chart display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
