The current DOP price is showing a weak and short-term rebound with a bearish fluctuation trend. The prices for the entire cycle are in a high range, with limited room for further increases. Upstream 2-ethylhexanol and phthalic anhydride are operating at high levels, providing support to the cost side. However, downstream demand for PVC plasticizers is cautious, and there is no significant increase in market transactions. It is recommended to monitor subsequent fluctuations in the cost side and the pace of downstream demand release.
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Difference Type | Value on 2026.10.18 | Value on 2026.10.17 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 0 | -10 | + |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 5.83 | 33.33 | - |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | 159.59 | 162.09 | - |
Note: The latest available data is up to October 18, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
2. Signal Status Determination
The current combination of changes in the mean differences is (+, -, -), corresponding to a weak rebound signal (bearish bias).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The current DOP price trend is oscillating, with the reason being that the change in direction of the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, meeting the criteria for an oscillating market. It belongs to a weak rebound type that is bearish.
4. Position Space Reference
The DOP prices for the 60-day, 3-month, and 1-year cycles are all at high levels, corresponding to the fifth price tier in the five-tier pricing structure, leaving limited room for further upside.
5. Supply and Demand Reference
On October 14, several Chinese DOP manufacturers generally reduced their factory quotes by 100 CNY/ton, and the actual transaction prices also declined. Upstream raw materials, such as 2-ethylhexanol and phthalic anhydride, are currently at high prices, still providing support to the cost end of DOP. However, the downstream demand for PVC plasticizers has not yet shown a significant increase, and the market transactions remain cautious.
6. Trend Chart Display
7. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
(Source: China)
