Global propylene glycol trade entered a pronounced contraction between December 2024 and November 2025, with physical volume falling nearly 70% from its annual peak and reported quantity declining by more than 85%.
During the 12-month period, the market recorded:
- 371.77 million kg of propylene glycol traded
- 334.19 million reported units
- USD 467.83 million in transaction value
- 21,847 individual trade records
- Weighted average price of USD 1.2584/kg
- Average value of USD 1.3999 per reported unit
Physical trade weight reached its highest level in December 2024 at 40.71 million kg, closely followed by March 2025 at 40.69 million kg. By November 2025, monthly weight had fallen to only 12.26 million kg, representing a peak-to-trough contraction of 69.9%.
The late-year decline was even more severe across other indicators. Reported quantity fell from 48.39 million units in March to 7.12 million units in November, while transaction value dropped from a January high of USD 52.08 million to USD 12.23 million.
For procurement managers, suppliers and chemical distributors, the data reveals three major commercial realities: demand and liquidity can weaken much faster than prices, package structure materially affects unit economics, and high-volume months do not always produce the lowest price per kilogram.
Key Market Findings
Physical volume declined by nearly 70%. Monthly weight fell from 40.71 million kg in December 2024 to 12.26 million kg in November 2025.
March was the busiest month by quantity and transaction count. Reported quantity reached 48.39 million units, while the number of trades rose to 2,082.
January generated the highest monthly transaction value. Total value reached USD 52.08 million even though physical weight was below the December and March levels.
February recorded the highest price per kilogram. The average weight-based price reached USD 1.5484/kg as physical weight fell to 30.04 million kg.
June recorded the highest price per reported unit. At USD 1.8438 per unit, the premium reflected changes in packaging or transaction structure rather than a corresponding peak in the price per kilogram.
November marked a broad market contraction. Weight, quantity, value and trade count all reached their lowest levels, while the average price fell below USD 1.00/kg.
Physical weight and reported quantity generally moved together. Their correlation was approximately 0.83, although changes in the weight-to-quantity ratio show that package or reporting structures varied across the year.
Transaction value was primarily volume-driven. Value had a strong relationship with physical weight, indicating that the overall market value depended more on traded tonnage than on price movements alone.
Global Propylene Glycol Trade Overview
Propylene glycol is used across a wide range of industrial and consumer applications, including:
- Unsaturated polyester resins
- Antifreeze and engine coolants
- Heat-transfer fluids
- Paints and coatings
- Food and beverage formulations
- Pharmaceutical excipients
- Cosmetics and personal care products
- Industrial solvents
- De-icing fluids
- Animal-feed and agricultural applications
The market includes multiple product grades, particularly industrial-grade, food-grade, pharmaceutical-grade and USP-grade propylene glycol.
Prices can therefore vary according to purity, certification, origin, destination, packaging and application. Bulk industrial material should not be directly compared with pharmaceutical or food-grade product without adjusting for specification and documentation requirements.
Total Trade Performance
| Market Indicator | Total or Average |
|---|---|
| Total Trade Weight | 371,771,175.50 kg |
| Equivalent Trade Weight | 371,771 metric tons |
| Total Reported Quantity | 334,187,172.02 units |
| Total Transaction Value | USD 467,826,537.72 |
| Total Trade Records | 21,847 |
| Weighted Average Price | USD 1.2584/kg |
| Average Value per Reported Unit | USD 1.3999/unit |
The market averaged approximately 30.98 million kg and USD 38.99 million in transaction value per month.
However, November fell far below those levels, indicating that annual averages concealed a substantial late-year deterioration.
Monthly Propylene Glycol Trade Data
To keep the data suitable for CMS display, the monthly indicators are divided into two simplified tables.
Monthly Weight, Quantity and Transaction Value
| Month | Weight | Reported Quantity | Transaction Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 2024 | 40.71 million kg | 29.53 million | USD 50.21 million |
| January 2025 | 36.31 million kg | 29.28 million | USD 52.08 million |
| February 2025 | 30.04 million kg | 36.49 million | USD 46.52 million |
| March 2025 | 40.69 million kg | 48.39 million | USD 48.95 million |
| April 2025 | 32.15 million kg | 27.67 million | USD 43.76 million |
| May 2025 | 31.90 million kg | 25.49 million | USD 38.52 million |
| June 2025 | 27.25 million kg | 18.39 million | USD 33.91 million |
| July 2025 | 30.12 million kg | 28.29 million | USD 37.88 million |
| August 2025 | 29.92 million kg | 25.25 million | USD 35.31 million |
| September 2025 | 34.19 million kg | 34.98 million | USD 37.48 million |
| October 2025 | 26.25 million kg | 23.32 million | USD 30.98 million |
| November 2025 | 12.26 million kg | 7.12 million | USD 12.23 million |
Monthly Prices and Trade Activity
| Month | Trade Records | Price per kg | Value per Reported Unit |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 2024 | 2,055 | USD 1.2334 | USD 1.7003 |
| January 2025 | 1,955 | USD 1.4344 | USD 1.7785 |
| February 2025 | 1,915 | USD 1.5484 | USD 1.2749 |
| March 2025 | 2,082 | USD 1.2031 | USD 1.0117 |
| April 2025 | 2,052 | USD 1.3612 | USD 1.5813 |
| May 2025 | 1,933 | USD 1.2075 | USD 1.5113 |
| June 2025 | 1,617 | USD 1.2446 | USD 1.8438 |
| July 2025 | 2,004 | USD 1.2577 | USD 1.3389 |
| August 2025 | 1,906 | USD 1.1800 | USD 1.3986 |
| September 2025 | 1,934 | USD 1.0963 | USD 1.0716 |
| October 2025 | 1,749 | USD 1.1805 | USD 1.3286 |
| November 2025 | 645 | USD 0.9980 | USD 1.7181 |

Physical Volume Analysis: From Two Major Peaks to a Late-Year Collapse
December Opened the Period at Maximum Physical Volume
December 2024 recorded 40.71 million kg, the highest monthly physical weight in the dataset.
The month represented approximately 10.95% of total annual weight and generated USD 50.21 million in transaction value.
A total of 2,055 trades were completed, indicating that both physical volume and market participation were strong.
The average weight per transaction was approximately 19,809 kg, also the highest monthly figure of the period.
This suggests that December combined active trade frequency with relatively large shipment sizes.
January Value Increased Despite Lower Physical Weight
January weight declined by 10.8% month on month to 36.31 million kg.
Despite the lower volume, monthly transaction value increased by 3.7% to USD 52.08 million, the highest value of the entire period.
The increase was supported by a rise in the average weight-based price from USD 1.2334/kg to USD 1.4344/kg.
January therefore created stronger revenue conditions for suppliers, but higher replacement costs for buyers.
Average transaction value reached approximately USD 26,640, the highest monthly level in the dataset.
February Combined Lower Weight with the Highest Price per Kilogram
Physical weight fell another 17.3% in February, reaching 30.04 million kg.
At the same time, reported quantity increased by 24.6% to 36.49 million units.
This divergence suggests that February contained more reported units relative to physical weight. The weight-to-quantity ratio fell to approximately 0.82 kg per unit, the lowest level of the year.
The average weight-based price climbed to USD 1.5484/kg, the annual high.
For buyers, February presented a less favorable procurement environment:
- Physical availability was lower
- Price per kilogram was highest
- Shipment structure shifted toward more reported units
- Supplier negotiating power was comparatively stronger
For suppliers, the month provided an opportunity to protect margins, particularly for differentiated grades or smaller commercial orders.
March Produced the Largest Quantity and Trade-Count Surge
March was the most active month by reported quantity and number of transactions.
Physical weight increased 35.5% month on month to 40.69 million kg, only slightly below the December maximum.
Reported quantity rose 32.6% to 48.39 million units, accounting for 14.48% of the annual total.
Trade count increased to 2,082, the highest monthly figure.
The volume expansion was accompanied by a decline in price:
- Weight-based price fell to USD 1.2031/kg
- Value per reported unit fell to USD 1.0117
- The quantity-based price was the lowest of the period
March therefore represented the strongest high-liquidity procurement window in the dataset.
Buyers had access to:
- Near-record physical volume
- The highest reported quantity
- The largest number of counterparties and transactions
- Below-average price per kilogram
- The lowest value per reported unit
The market did not generate its highest monthly value, however, because lower prices offset much of the volume increase.
April to June: Supply Normalization and Gradual Market Erosion
April Volume Corrected After the March Surge
Physical weight fell 21.0% in April to 32.15 million kg.
Reported quantity contracted even more sharply, declining 42.8% to 27.67 million units.
Despite the volume correction, trade count remained high at 2,052, only slightly below the March peak.
This indicates that market participation remained active, but the average quantity handled through each transaction decreased.
The average price recovered to USD 1.3612/kg, suggesting that the rapid withdrawal of March supply reduced some of the previous price pressure.
May Extended the Decline in Market Value
Physical weight remained broadly stable in May at 31.90 million kg, declining only 0.8% from April.
However, transaction value fell nearly 12% to USD 38.52 million as the average price declined to USD 1.2075/kg.
May therefore provided a relatively balanced buying environment:
- Physical volume remained near the annual average
- Trade activity remained relatively high
- The price per kilogram was below the annual weighted average
- The market was less congested than in March
For buyers who missed the March surge, May may have provided a secondary procurement opportunity without requiring purchases during the market’s highest-volume month.
June Recorded Lower Volume but the Highest Per-Unit Value
June weight fell 14.6% to 27.25 million kg, while quantity declined 27.8% to 18.39 million units.
Trade count also decreased to 1,617.
The weight-based price remained moderate at USD 1.2446/kg, but the value per reported unit rose to USD 1.8438, the highest level of the year.
This did not necessarily indicate a broad market price surge. Instead, the weight-to-quantity ratio increased to approximately 1.48 kg per unit, suggesting that each reported unit represented more physical material on average.
For commercial analysis, June demonstrates why price per reported unit should not be interpreted without examining physical weight and package structure.
July to September: A Partial Demand and Volume Recovery
July Delivered the Strongest Mid-Year Rebound
July physical weight increased 10.5% to 30.12 million kg.
Reported quantity rose 53.8%, while trade count increased 23.9% to 2,004.
Monthly transaction value recovered to USD 37.88 million.
The simultaneous improvement across weight, quantity, value and trade frequency suggests a broad-based market rebound rather than an isolated change in package structure.
However, average value per trade remained below USD 19,000, indicating that the recovery was driven by more transactions rather than a shift toward larger or higher-value deals.
August Returned to a Softer Trading Environment
August weight remained relatively stable at 29.92 million kg, but quantity, value and trade count all declined.
The average price fell to USD 1.1800/kg, below the annual weighted average.
For buyers, August offered moderate availability and comparatively soft pricing, although it lacked the high liquidity and quantity seen in March.
September Created Another Attractive Procurement Window
September physical weight increased 14.3% to 34.19 million kg.
Reported quantity rose 38.5% to 34.98 million units, while the price per kilogram declined to USD 1.0963.
The combination of higher physical availability and lower pricing made September another notable procurement window.
Unlike March, the increase in trade count was limited. The number of trades rose only 1.5% to 1,934.
This suggests that the September increase came partly from larger average transactions rather than a major expansion in the number of active deals.
For large-volume buyers, September may have offered particularly favorable conditions:
- Physical weight above the annual average
- Reported quantity above the annual average
- One of the lowest prices per kilogram
- Higher average weight per transaction
- Less transaction congestion than in March
October and November: Demand Contraction Accelerated
October Signaled a Clear Loss of Momentum
October physical weight fell 23.2% to 26.25 million kg.
Reported quantity declined 33.3%, transaction value fell 17.3%, and trade count decreased 9.6%.
The decline affected every major indicator.
Although the price per kilogram increased slightly to USD 1.1805, the improvement was insufficient to prevent monthly value from falling to USD 30.98 million.
October therefore marked the transition from moderate market softness to a severe late-year contraction.
November Recorded the Lowest Weight, Quantity, Value and Trade Count
November was the weakest month in the dataset.
Compared with October:
- Weight fell 53.3%
- Reported quantity fell 69.5%
- Transaction value fell 60.5%
- Trade count fell 63.1%
Monthly physical weight reached only 12.26 million kg, equivalent to 3.30% of the annual total.
Reported quantity fell to 7.12 million units, while the number of trades dropped to just 645.
The average price per kilogram also fell below the one-dollar threshold, reaching USD 0.9980/kg.
This is an important distinction. November’s contraction was not caused by a clear supply shortage accompanied by higher prices. Instead, physical volume, trade participation, market value and price all weakened together.
That combination is more consistent with broad demand deterioration, inventory reduction or reduced commercial activity than with a conventional supply squeeze.
November may appear attractive because of the low price per kilogram, but buyers faced several practical risks:
- Lower market liquidity
- Fewer available counterparties
- Reduced product and grade selection
- Potentially longer lead times
- Greater dependence on larger consolidated shipments
- Difficulty confirming whether low prices reflected standard market quality
Volume Concentration by Month
| Rank | Month | Trade Weight | Share of Total Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 2024 | 40.71 million kg | 10.95% |
| 2 | March 2025 | 40.69 million kg | 10.94% |
| 3 | January 2025 | 36.31 million kg | 9.77% |
| 4 | September 2025 | 34.19 million kg | 9.20% |
| 5 | April 2025 | 32.15 million kg | 8.65% |
| 6 | May 2025 | 31.90 million kg | 8.58% |
| 7 | February 2025 | 30.04 million kg | 8.08% |
| 8 | July 2025 | 30.12 million kg | 8.10% |
| 9 | August 2025 | 29.92 million kg | 8.05% |
| 10 | June 2025 | 27.25 million kg | 7.33% |
| 11 | October 2025 | 26.25 million kg | 7.06% |
| 12 | November 2025 | 12.26 million kg | 3.30% |
December and March together accounted for approximately 21.89% of total physical weight.
Unlike markets where half of annual volume is concentrated in only two or three months, propylene glycol trade was relatively well distributed through most of the year.
November was the major exception. Its share of annual weight was less than one-third of the share recorded in December or March.
Reported Quantity and Packaging Structure
Reported quantity moved broadly in the same direction as physical weight, but the size of each reported unit changed significantly.
The weight-to-quantity ratio ranged from:
- 0.82 kg per unit in February
- 0.84 kg per unit in March
- 1.48 kg per unit in June
- 1.72 kg per unit in November
A lower ratio means that more reported units were associated with each kilogram of material. A higher ratio means that each reported unit represented more physical weight.
This variation may reflect:
- Different package sizes
- Bulk versus smaller-container shipments
- Drums, intermediate bulk containers or other formats
- Different customs-reporting conventions
- Consolidation of multiple packages
- Variation in product grade
- Changes in buyer and destination mix
Because the exact physical meaning of each reported unit may differ, buyers should not compare supplier offers using unit count alone.
A more reliable comparison should include:
- Net kilograms
- Product grade
- Package type
- Number of packages
- Delivered price per kilogram
- Freight and handling costs
- Minimum order quantity
- Incoterm
- Payment conditions
Price Analysis: Moderate Per-Kilogram Volatility, Wider Unit-Structure Swings
Weight-Based Price Remained Within a Relatively Narrow Range
The average price per kilogram ranged from:
- High: USD 1.5484/kg in February
- Low: USD 0.9980/kg in November
February’s price was approximately 55% above the November low.
Compared with the movement in physical volume and quantity, the price per kilogram was relatively stable.
The annual weighted average was USD 1.2584/kg.
Months below this level included:
- December 2024
- March 2025
- May 2025
- June 2025
- August 2025
- September 2025
- October 2025
- November 2025
January, February and April recorded the clearest price premiums.
High Volume Did Not Automatically Produce a Lower Price
Physical weight and price per kilogram had a modest positive relationship of approximately 0.40.
This means that higher-volume months did not consistently correspond with lower prices.
Several factors may explain this pattern:
- Stronger downstream demand may support both price and volume
- Feedstock costs may rise during active purchasing periods
- Grade mix may change between months
- Freight-inclusive transactions may affect average values
- Higher-value destinations may account for a larger share of trade
- Suppliers may retain pricing power during broad restocking cycles
Buyers should therefore not assume that a high-volume month will automatically generate a discount.
March and September did combine stronger volume with lower pricing, but December maintained high volume without an unusually low price.
Quantity-Based Price Was More Volatile
Value per reported unit ranged from:
- USD 1.0117 in March
- USD 1.8438 in June
Reported quantity and value per unit had a negative relationship of approximately -0.71.
As more units entered the market, average value per unit generally declined.
This may indicate:
- Volume discounts
- Smaller individual units
- Changes in product mix
- Promotional or contract pricing
- Higher participation from lower-value applications
The quantity-based indicator is useful for identifying changes in transaction structure, but the price per kilogram remains the more consistent benchmark for physical procurement.
Transaction Activity and Average Deal Size
| Month | Average Weight per Trade | Average Value per Trade |
|---|---|---|
| December 2024 | 19,809 kg | USD 24,431 |
| January 2025 | 18,572 kg | USD 26,640 |
| February 2025 | 15,687 kg | USD 24,290 |
| March 2025 | 19,543 kg | USD 23,512 |
| April 2025 | 15,667 kg | USD 21,325 |
| May 2025 | 16,502 kg | USD 19,926 |
| June 2025 | 16,851 kg | USD 20,973 |
| July 2025 | 15,030 kg | USD 18,903 |
| August 2025 | 15,699 kg | USD 18,525 |
| September 2025 | 17,677 kg | USD 19,379 |
| October 2025 | 15,006 kg | USD 17,714 |
| November 2025 | 19,004 kg | USD 18,965 |
Transaction Count Closely Followed Physical Volume
The relationship between trade count and physical weight was approximately 0.90.
This means that changes in total market volume were driven primarily by the number of active transactions, although average deal size also varied.
March combined:
- Near-record physical weight
- Highest reported quantity
- Highest trade count
- High average weight per transaction
November showed the opposite structure:
- Lowest total weight
- Lowest quantity
- Lowest transaction count
- Relatively large average weight per remaining transaction
November’s average weight per trade remained approximately 19,004 kg. The market therefore did not shift toward smaller transactions. Instead, the number of active deals collapsed while the remaining transactions stayed relatively large.
This suggests that smaller or non-essential buyers may have withdrawn first, leaving a narrower market dominated by essential or consolidated shipments.
January Produced the Highest Average Transaction Value
Average value per trade reached approximately USD 26,640 in January, supported by higher pricing and substantial shipment weight.
October recorded the lowest average transaction value at approximately USD 17,714.
For suppliers, this gap shows that a high number of trades does not necessarily produce higher revenue quality. Customer mix, shipment size and pricing remain more important than transaction count alone.
What the Trade Data Relationships Mean
| Market Relationship | Commercial Interpretation |
|---|---|
| Weight and quantity: strong positive relationship | Physical volume and reported units generally expanded and contracted together |
| Weight and value: very strong positive relationship | Total transaction value was largely driven by physical tonnage |
| Weight and trade count: strong positive relationship | Market volume depended heavily on the number of active transactions |
| Weight and price per kg: modest positive relationship | Higher volume did not consistently create lower prices |
| Quantity and value per unit: strong negative relationship | Greater unit availability generally compressed per-unit value |
| Value and price per kg: positive relationship | Stronger price levels supported revenue when physical volume was lower |
The most important conclusion is that propylene glycol did not follow a simple “more supply equals lower price” pattern throughout the year.
March and September offered relatively favorable combinations of volume and price, but other high-volume months maintained firmer pricing.
Procurement decisions should therefore combine:
- Physical availability
- Price per kilogram
- Feedstock direction
- Packaging structure
- Grade requirements
- Freight
- Transaction liquidity
- Downstream demand
Market Volatility Profile
| Indicator | Monthly Average | Relative Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| Physical Weight | 30.98 million kg | 24.22% |
| Reported Quantity | 27.85 million units | 35.98% |
| Transaction Value | USD 38.99 million | 27.87% |
| Trade Count | 1,821 | 21.59% |
| Weight-Based Price | USD 1.2454/kg | 11.77% |
| Quantity-Based Price | USD 1.4631/unit | 18.57% |
Reported quantity was the most volatile operational indicator.
Price per kilogram was the least volatile, showing that the propylene glycol market experienced a greater change in trade activity than in underlying price levels.
For buyers, this creates a specific risk: product may become less available even when prices have not yet risen sharply.
For suppliers, falling trade count may provide an earlier warning of demand deterioration than price movements.
Main Risks for Propylene Glycol Buyers and Suppliers
1. Demand and Volume Risk
November demonstrated that physical volume can fall more than 50% within a single month.
Companies dependent on continuous supply should avoid relying on spot procurement from a narrow supplier base.
Suppliers should also avoid basing annual sales targets on the assumption that high-volume periods will continue.
2. Liquidity Risk
The number of trades fell from 2,082 in March to only 645 in November.
A thinner market may result in:
- Fewer active suppliers and buyers
- Reduced grade availability
- Longer quotation and delivery cycles
- Wider differences between offers
- Higher counterparty concentration
- Greater credit and fulfillment risk
Trade count should be monitored alongside price and volume as a measure of market liquidity.
3. Price and Margin Risk
Although per-kilogram volatility was moderate, the difference between USD 1.5484/kg and USD 0.9980/kg remains commercially significant.
Buyers exposed to the February high would have faced materially higher costs than buyers purchasing during September or November.
Suppliers selling into November conditions faced lower prices and sharply reduced demand at the same time.
4. Feedstock and Production-Cost Risk
Propylene glycol economics are closely linked to propylene oxide and other production inputs.
A lower selling price does not necessarily indicate improved producer economics. Margins may remain under pressure if feedstock, energy or logistics costs are elevated.
Buyers should therefore monitor both market price and producer cost conditions when negotiating longer-term contracts.
5. Product Grade Risk
Industrial-grade, food-grade, pharmaceutical-grade and USP-grade propylene glycol may carry different quality requirements and price structures.
Contracts should clearly specify:
- Purity
- Water content
- Acidity
- Color
- Residue
- Certification
- Regulatory compliance
- Intended application
- Batch documentation
- Shelf life
A low-priced industrial offer may not be suitable for food, cosmetic or pharmaceutical use.
6. Packaging and Logistics Risk
The changing weight-to-quantity ratio indicates that shipment configuration varied throughout the year.
Buyers should confirm:
- Drum or bulk format
- Intermediate bulk container requirements
- Net weight per package
- Pallet configuration
- Tank-container availability
- Storage compatibility
- Handling requirements
- Returnable packaging conditions
Packaging premiums can materially affect the delivered cost even when the base price per kilogram appears competitive.
7. Inventory Risk
March and September offered attractive procurement conditions, but large purchases create working-capital and storage exposure.
Potential risks include:
- Excess inventory
- Falling replacement prices
- Storage and insurance costs
- Quality deterioration
- Demand forecast errors
- Customer destocking
- Cash-flow pressure
The lowest purchase price does not always produce the lowest total inventory cost.
Procurement Opportunity Calendar
| Period | Market Signal | Buyer Implication | Supplier Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 2024 | Highest physical weight, active trade | Strong availability | High-volume sales opportunity |
| January 2025 | Highest market value, higher price | Cost pressure begins | Strong revenue and pricing conditions |
| February 2025 | Lower weight, highest price per kg | Avoid urgent spot dependence | Best premium-pricing window |
| March 2025 | Near-record weight, highest quantity and liquidity | Strong bulk procurement window | Volume opportunity but margin pressure |
| April 2025 | Volume correction, price recovery | Use staged purchasing | Pricing power partially returns |
| May 2025 | Stable weight, below-average price | Secondary buying opportunity | Balance volume and margin |
| June 2025 | Lower volume, high unit value | Check packaging economics | Potential package-format premium |
| July 2025 | Broad market rebound | Normalized availability | Customer reactivation opportunity |
| August 2025 | Moderate volume, softer price | Selective spot buying | Margin pressure remains |
| September 2025 | Volume recovery, low price per kg | Attractive large-volume window | Prioritize inventory turnover |
| October 2025 | Broad contraction begins | Avoid assuming continued availability | Demand-risk warning |
| November 2025 | Lowest activity and price | Low-price opportunity with liquidity risk | Protect cash flow and avoid overproduction |
Best Procurement Windows
March: Highest Liquidity and Reported Availability
March offered the strongest overall procurement environment.
It combined:
- Near-record physical weight
- Highest reported quantity
- Highest transaction count
- Below-average price per kilogram
- Lowest value per reported unit
Buyers requiring multiple suppliers, flexible order structures or broad grade availability may benefit most from similar high-liquidity periods.
September: Strong Volume with Lower Price Pressure
September offered one of the clearest large-volume buying opportunities.
Physical weight and quantity both increased, while the price fell to USD 1.0963/kg.
The month was particularly suitable for buyers seeking larger average transactions without the exceptionally high transaction congestion recorded in March.
May and August: Secondary Buying Opportunities
May and August both recorded prices below the annual weighted average while maintaining moderate physical availability.
These months may suit staged purchasing strategies, allowing buyers to spread volume rather than concentrate all demand into March or September.
November: Low Price but Higher Execution Risk
November recorded the lowest price per kilogram, but it was not automatically the best purchasing month.
The sharp collapse in trade activity created risks around:
- Supplier choice
- Grade availability
- delivery reliability
- Market transparency
- Counterparty concentration
Buyers with established supplier relationships may be able to capture low prices, but new or urgent procurement would be more difficult.
Sales and Supplier Opportunities
Use February-Type Conditions to Protect Margins
February combined lower physical weight with the highest price per kilogram.
Suppliers holding available inventory may gain stronger negotiating power during comparable tight-volume periods.
Priority actions include:
- Shorter quote-validity periods
- Customer allocation
- Margin-based account selection
- Contract repricing
- Controlled inventory release
Maximize Market Reach During March
March recorded the most active trading environment.
Suppliers can use high-liquidity periods to:
- Acquire new customers
- Promote multiple grades
- Run contract-renewal campaigns
- Increase distributor participation
- Move larger inventories
- Introduce volume-based pricing
The main risk is margin compression.
Develop Flexible Packaging for June-Type Markets
June’s high value per reported unit suggests that transaction and packaging structure materially influenced pricing.
Suppliers with flexible filling and packaging capability may capture premiums through:
- Drums
- Intermediate bulk containers
- Tank containers
- Smaller customized packages
- Food- or pharmaceutical-compliant packaging
- Regional repacking services
Treat October as an Early Demand Warning
October’s simultaneous decline in weight, quantity, value and trade count provided an early warning before the November collapse.
Suppliers should respond to similar signals by:
- Reducing speculative production
- Reviewing customer inventory
- Tightening credit management
- Accelerating receivables
- Limiting excess stock
- Adjusting sales forecasts
Recommended Actions for Procurement Managers
Standardize Every Supplier Offer
Each quotation should be converted into a consistent comparison covering:
- USD per kilogram
- Net weight
- Product grade
- Packaging
- Origin
- Incoterm
- Freight
- Duty and taxes
- Payment terms
- Lead time
- Minimum order quantity
- Certification
Avoid Single-Month Procurement Dependence
Annual demand should be divided between:
- Base contract volume
- Quarterly flexible volume
- Spot purchases during favorable periods
- Emergency supplier capacity
This reduces exposure to both February-type price premiums and November-type liquidity contractions.
Qualify Suppliers Before the Market Tightens
Supplier approval should be completed during stable or high-liquidity periods.
Waiting until trade activity has already contracted limits negotiating power and increases quality risk.
Monitor Transaction Count as an Early Signal
Price alone may not reveal a weakening market.
A sustained decline in trade count can indicate:
- Buyer withdrawal
- Supplier inactivity
- Reduced grade availability
- Lower market confidence
- Upcoming volume contraction
Compare Landed Cost, Not Only Product Price
A low FOB or ex-works price may be offset by:
- Higher freight
- Packaging premiums
- Storage expenses
- Financing costs
- Smaller shipment sizes
- Longer delivery times
The most relevant procurement benchmark is total delivered cost for the required specification.
Recommended Actions for Suppliers and Distributors
Separate Volume Strategy from Margin Strategy
March generated strong activity but lower prices. January and February produced stronger average transaction economics.
Sales teams should define whether each period is intended to:
- Move volume
- Protect margin
- Acquire customers
- Reduce inventory
- Expand distribution
- Introduce premium grades
Segment Customers by Application
Industrial, food, cosmetic and pharmaceutical customers should not receive identical positioning or commercial terms.
Higher-compliance products may justify premiums based on:
- Documentation
- Traceability
- Regulatory support
- Batch consistency
- Application testing
- Technical service
Use Packaging as a Commercial Differentiator
Flexible packaging can improve access to different buyer segments and reduce dependence on bulk customers.
Suppliers should evaluate demand for:
- Bulk tanks
- Flexitanks
- IBCs
- Standard drums
- Food-grade drums
- Pharmaceutical-compliant packaging
Strengthen Inventory Discipline Before Late-Year Slowdowns
The October and November data show how quickly trade activity can weaken.
Suppliers should align production, imports and warehouse inventory with confirmed demand rather than assuming that previous monthly volumes will continue.
Indicators to Monitor in Future Propylene Glycol Trade Cycles
Historical trade data becomes more valuable when combined with current market signals.
Buyers and suppliers should monitor:
- Propylene oxide prices
- Crude oil and propylene trends
- Producer operating rates
- Plant maintenance schedules
- Unsaturated polyester resin demand
- Automotive coolant demand
- Construction and coatings activity
- Food and pharmaceutical demand
- Regional inventory levels
- Tank-container and drum availability
- Ocean and inland freight rates
- Currency movements
- Import duties and trade policy
- Environmental regulations
Several combined signals are particularly useful:
Rising volume and falling prices may indicate a buyer-friendly restocking or inventory-release period.
Falling volume and rising prices may indicate tightening supply.
Falling volume and falling prices may indicate demand weakness, as seen in November.
Rising quantity without rising weight may indicate smaller packages or a change in buyer mix.
Falling trade count before falling price may provide an early warning of deteriorating liquidity.
Conclusion
Global propylene glycol trade between December 2024 and November 2025 was defined by relatively stable pricing but substantial changes in volume, reported quantity and transaction activity.
The market traded 371.77 million kg across 21,847 transactions, generating USD 467.83 million in value.
Physical weight reached its highest level at 40.71 million kg in December 2024, with March 2025 recording an almost identical 40.69 million kg. By November, monthly weight had declined to only 12.26 million kg, a peak-to-trough contraction of 69.9%.
Reported quantity fell even more sharply, declining 85.3% from the March peak to the November low.
January generated the highest transaction value, February recorded the highest price per kilogram, March led by quantity and trade count, and June recorded the highest value per reported unit.
The market’s most important message is that volume, pricing and liquidity did not always move in the same direction.
High physical availability did not guarantee the lowest price. Low prices did not always indicate an easy procurement environment. Changes in reported quantity also reflected package and transaction structure, not simply demand for physical material.
For buyers, March and September provided the clearest combinations of strong availability and comparatively attractive pricing. May and August offered additional staged-purchasing opportunities. November provided a low headline price but substantially greater liquidity and execution risk.
For suppliers, January and February delivered stronger pricing and transaction economics, while March offered the best environment for volume growth and customer acquisition.
Effective propylene glycol strategy therefore requires more than tracking a monthly price. Market participants must evaluate physical weight, trade count, package structure, grade, freight and downstream demand together.
By integrating trade data intelligence with real-time feedstock, inventory and demand signals, buyers and suppliers can identify stronger negotiation windows, control inventory exposure and respond earlier to changes in the global propylene glycol market.