August 6th, according to news,
According to the SpotCom AI assistant, the latest average data for melamine as of August 5, 2026, shows a divergence in the moving average difference indicators. The 5-day and 20-day moving average differences are trending upward, but the 10-day moving average difference has narrowed, signaling a warning of stagnation (bearish). The market is in a volatile pattern, with signs of weakening short-term upward momentum. Although some manufacturers in China have still increased their factory prices, the further upward momentum has already weakened.
1. Mean Difference Change Table
| Average Deviation Indicator | (2026.08.05) | (2026.08.04) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Deviation (D5) | 41.25 | 12.50 | + |
| 10-day Average Deviation (D10) | 47.50 | 52.50 | - |
| 20-day Average Deviation (D20) | 94.87 | 78.25 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
Stagflation warning (bearish)
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Volatility (stagflation warning leans bearish). Reason: The direction of change in the three moving averages compared to the previous day is (+, -, +), forming an incomplete and oscillating pattern that corresponds to a stagflation warning signal. From the perspective of corporate pricing, some manufacturers still raised their factory prices on August 5; however, by the 10th, the average deviation had narrowed compared to the previous day, indicating that short-term upward momentum has begun to weaken.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day cycle: The price is at a high level, with limited room for further increases.
3-month cycle: Prices are at a mid-to-low level, with some cushion against further declines;
1 year cycle: The price is at a moderate to low level, and there is some cushion for a decline.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Risks include: supply fluctuations due to plant maintenance resumption, lower-than-expected demand from the downstream panel industry, fluctuations in urea raw material costs, and changes in export orders.
