August 7th news
According to the Spotcom AI assistant: On August 6, 2026, the LLDPE market in China showed a weak and fluctuating trend, with the market triggering more signals of resistance to decline. The multi-period average difference showed a divergent trend, which is consistent with the characteristics of a fluctuating market; the inventory structure was also divergent, with a significant increase in production inventory and a slight decrease in social inventory, while downstream demand was mainly rigid and overall weak. The current price is at a mid-high level for the year, showing some resilience against declines, but the upward trend is limited due to the pressure from inventory and demand. In the short term, the market is expected to maintain a weak and fluctuating trend.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Mean Difference Indicator | Today's Value (2026.08.06) | Yesterday's Value (2026.08.05) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | -38.00 | -13.00 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | -3.83 | -5.50 | + |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | -89.17 | -82.08 | - |
2. Signal status determination
Dip-resistant alert (slightly bullish)
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Volatility. Reason: The directions of the three differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent (the combination of change directions is -, +, -), which fits the category of volatility, corresponding to a resilience warning (bullish) signal; combining with the industrial chain data, the inventory volume of production enterprises in China increased by 10.30% month-over-month, while the social sample warehouse inventory decreased by 1.79% month-over-month, indicating a divergence in inventory structure. Additionally, downstream buyers are cautious and mainly purchasing based on immediate needs, leading to a weak and volatile market trend in the short term.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
The one-year-cycle price of LLDPE remains at a medium-to-high level, with limited room for further increases. This medium-to-high pricing level provides some resistance to price declines, while inventory pressure on the production side and cautious sentiment among downstream users cap the upside potential for prices.
5. Trend chart display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
