Recently, the acetic acid market in China has continued to weaken, with many companies lowering their quotes. Weak demand and increased facility utilization rates have suppressed market conditions. The average difference method indicates that the current situation is in a resilient warning state under fluctuating market conditions. Given the relatively low price position over a one-year cycle, the short-term downward space is relatively limited. Subsequent attention should be paid to the marginal changes in supply and demand.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today’s Value (2026-08-11) | Yesterday’s Value (2026-08-10) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | -29.00 | -15.33 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | -38.66 | -41.00 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | -47.00 | -38.84 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The current mean difference change direction combination is (－, ＋, －), which belongs to the resilience warning (bullish) signal.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The price trend is judged to be range-bound. Reason: The direction of change in the three moving average differences (5-day, 10-day, and 20-day) compared to the previous day is not entirely consistent, which does not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend. Therefore, it enters a range-bound trading interval. The current resistance to decline signal indicates that the short-term downward momentum has somewhat weakened.
IV. Spatial Reference
Acetic acid 1-year cycle price position is at the lower middle level. According to the logic of dividing it into 5 levels, a lower middle position means that the downward space is limited. If there is a marginal improvement in demand, the price has a certain basis for rebound.
5. Trend Chart Display
Six, Additional Market Dynamics
price adjustment: On August 11, Shandong Hualu Hengsheng reduced the bulk water price of acetic acid by 50 CNY/ton to 3,050 CNY/ton; on August 10, acetic acid prices in North China, Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and South China were all adjusted downward to varying degrees, with the reduction ranging from 20 to 65 CNY/ton. 2. Supply and demand: The facility utilization rate for acetic acid in China has increased, but downstream demand is weak. The market trading atmosphere is subdued, and industry sentiment is weak. Companies continue to lower their quotes, and actual transaction prices are mainly determined through negotiations.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
