Recently, isooctanol has shown a continuous upward trend for several days. As of August 13, the average difference indicator has issued a warning signal for a potential stagnation in the increase. The price is currently at a high level within a 1-year cycle, and also in the high range for both the 60-day and 3-month cycles. The room for further increases is limited, and in the short term, there is a need to be cautious of the risk of a pullback.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-13) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-12) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 83.33 | 80 | + |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 143.33 | 146.67 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 46.67 | 15 | + |
II. Signal State Determination
The current mean difference change direction combination is (+, -, +), which belongs to a stagnation warning (bearish) signal.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The price trend is oscillating (with a bearish bias). Reason: The directions of the three average differences are not entirely consistent. Among them, the 5-day and 20-day average differences have increased compared to yesterday, while the 10-day average difference has decreased compared to yesterday. This aligns with the oscillating and bearish signal of a stagnation warning, indicating that after a continuous rise, the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and there is a possibility of a pullback.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Isobutanol prices in China are at a medium-high level for the 1-year cycle, and at a high level for the 60-day and 3-month cycles. According to the five-tier price position, the upside potential in the high price range is limited. Coupled with the warning signal of stagnation, the risk of a short-term correction is worth noting.
V. Chart Display
VI. Supplement to Market Dynamics
Recently, the main factories of isooctanol in China have continuously increased their factory prices: Shandong Hualu Hengsheng Group raised the price by 100 CNY/ton daily from August 10 to 13, reaching 8600 CNY/ton on August 13; LUXI Chemical increased the price by 100 CNY/ton on August 10 and 12, with a quoted price of 8300 CNY/ton on August 12; Shandong Lihuayi raised the price by 100 CNY/ton to 8000 CNY/ton on August 10. The main factories' facilities are all operating normally.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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