August 13th, according to reports
Today, the price of phosphoric acid (wet process) in China remains at a low level with a consolidation trend. The mean difference indicator shows that it is currently in a strong consolidation and fluctuation pattern. Considering the price positions across multiple periods, the short-term downward space is limited, indicating some potential for a rebound. Attention should be paid to the market trends of upstream raw materials such as yellow phosphorus, phosphate rock, and sulfuric acid, as well as the changes in demand for downstream products like compound fertilizers and phosphate salts, which will guide the price.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
| Average Deviation Indicator | (2026.08.12) | (2026.08.11) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Deviation (D5) | -50.00 | -25.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Deviation (D10) | -26.66 | -28.34 | + |
| 20-day Average Deviation (D20) | -148.34 | -156.66 | + |
II. Signal Status Determination
The current deviation change direction combination is (－, ＋, ＋), which belongs to a strong consolidation (bullish) signal.
III. Conclusion on Trend Direction
The price trend is oscillating. Reason: The directions of the three differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent. The 5-day difference is expanding in the negative direction, while the 10-day and 20-day differences are narrowing in the negative direction. This fits the characteristics of a strong consolidation within an oscillating range, indicating that the downward momentum of prices is weakening, and there is an expectation of a bullish consolidation.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day price cycle position: Low, with limited room for short-term decline;
Price position in the 3-month cycle: Low; the price is at the lower end of the range, with strong support.
1-year cycle price position: at a medium-low level, with some room for rebound in the medium to long term.
Five, Reference to Upstream and Downstream of the Industry Chain in China
Upstream commodities: yellow phosphorus, phosphate rock, sulfuric acid;
Downstream products: polyferric sulfate, dipotassium hydrogen phosphate, sodium pyrophosphate, sodium dihydrogen phosphate, ferrous phosphate, sodium tripolyphosphate, ammonium dihydrogen phosphate, sodium hydrogen phosphate, sodium phosphate, potassium dihydrogen phosphate, isopropanol, ammonium phosphate monobasic, disodium hydrogen phosphate, trisodium phosphate, diammonium phosphate
6. Trend Chart Display
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
