August 14th News
On August 13, 2026, the epoxy chloropropane market in China continued to show a weak downward trend. The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all showed a negative trend, with the indicators forming a clear signal of decline. In the short term, the price is at a high level within the 60-day cycle, and the pressure for a correction continues to be released. However, over the medium to long term (3 months and 1 year), the price is at a low to medium level, limiting the space for a significant drop. Overall, the market shows a structural trend of short-term correction and medium-term resilience.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
Today, all cycle spreads have fully retreated compared to yesterday, with short, medium, and long-term indicators weakening in tandem, further reinforcing the bearish trend. The specific data are as follows:
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-13) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-12) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference | -140 | -120 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference | -80 | -40 | - |
| 20-day Average Difference | 20 | 50 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
Today, the multi-period average difference indicators are synchronously declining, with no divergence signals. The technical indicators continue to show a clear downward trend, and the short-term market is dominated by bears.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The current price trend of epichlorohydrin in China is clearly declining. The core basis for this judgment is that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving average differences compared to the previous day are all negative. The directions of the short-term, medium-term, and long-term moving average differences are completely aligned, fully conforming to the rules for determining a clear downward trend in the moving average difference method. This confirms the establishment of a short-term weak downward trend.
IV. Positional Spatial Reference
Based on the analysis of price levels across different timeframes, the short-term and medium-to-long-term trends in the market show clear divergence: In the short term (60-day timeframe), the current price is hovering in the mid-to-high range. Coupled with bearish technical signals, the market has ample room for a short-term pullback, and the weak-price trend is likely to persist. In the medium-to-long term (3-month and 1-year timeframes), the current price is generally situated in the mid-to-low range, with strong bottom support. As a result, the potential for a significant medium-to-long-term decline is relatively limited, providing the market with a solid foundation to resist further declines.
5. Trend Chart Display
Six, Risk Warning
This report is based on technical indicators and historical data for analysis and summary, intended solely for industry reference and communication, and does not constitute any advice on trading, stockpiling, investment, or business decisions. The price of epichlorohydrin is influenced by multiple uncertain factors such as supply and demand of raw materials, plant operations, market sentiment, and macro policies. Future market conditions carry the risk of changes. Market participants are advised to refer to this information rationally, make prudent decisions, and assume the relevant transaction risks themselves.
