August 13th, news:
On August 12, 2026, the moving averages of propylene oxide across all periods weakened synchronously. The 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages all showed a negative change compared to the previous day. According to the rules for determining trends using moving averages, the market is currently showing a clear downward trend. From an annual price perspective, the price of propylene oxide is in a low range within the yearly cycle. The short-term decline has expanded somewhat, but there is still some support at the bottom, which is expected to limit the extent of further declines.
I. Table of Mean Difference Changes
This statistic covers the mean difference data for the three core cycles of 5 days, 10 days, and 20 days. Compared to the data from yesterday, it shows a comprehensive decline. The specific changes are shown in the table below:
| Mean Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-08-12) | Yesterday's Value (2026-08-11) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Mean Difference (D5) | -226.67 | -126.67 | - |
| 10-day Mean Difference (D10) | -16.67 | 70.00 | - |
| 20-day Mean Difference (D20) | -28.33 | -16.67 | - |
II. Signal State Determination
The data shows that the changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day cycles compared to the previous day are all uniformly negative, with no divergent trends. The market signals are clearly bearish, forming an effective downward signal guidance.
III. Trend Direction Conclusions
The current market price trend for propylene oxide in China is clearly declining. The key basis for this judgment is: the short-term, medium-term, and medium-long term core cycle differences are all synchronously falling with negative values, showing extremely strong consistency in the trend. This fully aligns with the standardized criteria for a clear decline as per the mean difference method, indicating a high degree of certainty in the downward market trend.
IV. Price, Location, and Spatial Reference
From an annual cyclical perspective, the spot price of propylene oxide is currently in the mid-to-low range (the second tier) of the one-year price structure. Compared to the absolute bottom range, the downward downside at the current price level has widened somewhat, leaving room for the release of bearish market sentiment. At the same time, however, the mid-to-low price range provides a degree of temporary bottom support and is not entirely devoid of support; thus, the overall future decline in price will be constrained by this bottom support, making a sharp, substantial drop relatively unlikely.
5. Trend Chart Display
Six, Risk Warning
This report's data analysis, trend forecasting, and spatial predictions are all based on publicly available data and quantitative model simulations. They are for market reference and research purposes only and do not constitute any investment or trading advice. Market conditions are influenced by multiple factors such as supply and demand, policies, raw materials, and sentiment, and thus carry uncertainties. Please bear the related transaction risks on your own.
