September 24th, according to the news
On September 23, 2026, the spot prices of natural rubber in the Qingdao area rose significantly, with Shanghai rubber futures oscillating upwards, supporting the increase in spot quotations. Based on the average difference analysis, the current price of natural rubber is in a strong rebound (bullish) oscillation trend. The 1-year cycle price is in a high range, with limited room for further increases. Investors should be cautious of the risk of a pullback from the high levels.
I. Data Description
The most recent available data is up to September 23, 2026. It is recommended to refer to real-time data.
II. Table of Finite Differences
| Difference Type | Value on September 23, 2026 | Value on September 22, 2026 | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day Difference (D5) | 318.33 | 136.67 | + |
| 10-Day Difference (D10) | 12.50 | -87.50 | + |
| 20-Day Difference (D20) | -114.58 | -76.25 | - |
III. Signal Status and Trend Assessment
Signal status: The current sequence of mean‑difference change signs is (+, +, -), which corresponds to a strong rebound signal (bullish, rebound‑type).
Trend direction: Consolidation. Reason for judgment: The directions of the three average differences compared to the previous day are not entirely consistent, and do not meet the criteria for a clear upward or downward trend, indicating a consolidation pattern with a short-term bias towards an upward move.
IV. Price Position and Reference for Upside and Downside Potential
The price of natural rubber in China is currently at the 5th level out of 5 levels (high position), with limited room for further increase, insufficient momentum to continue rising, and a possibility of a pullback from the high position.
Five, the fundamentals of the spot market in China
On September 23, 2026, the natural rubber market in Qingdao saw a sharp rally: Shanghai rubber futures fluctuated higher, while spot prices were adjusted upward. For 2024‑grade Yunbao, Guangken, and Haibao, mainstream quotes ranged from RMB 18,550 to 18,800 per ton; for 2025‑grade Yunbao, Guangken, and Haibao, the prevailing range was RMB 18,700 to 19,000 per ton; and Vietnamese 3L rubber was quoted at RMB 19,200 to 19,400 per ton.
On September 22, 2026, the Thai natural rubber raw material market saw prices rise: smoked sheet was quoted at 85.70 Thai baht per kilogram, up 0.20 baht per kilogram; latex was quoted at 80.00 baht per kilogram, unchanged; and cup lump was quoted at 74.10 baht per kilogram, up 0.30 baht per kilogram.
On September 21, 2026, the natural rubber market in Qingdao saw a slight consolidation: Shanghai rubber futures edged lower amid modest volatility, while spot prices were adjusted slightly. For 2024‑grade Yunbao, Guangken, and Haibao, mainstream quotes ranged from RMB 18,000 to 18,300 per ton; for 2025‑grade Yunbao, Guangken, and Haibao, the prevailing range was RMB 18,150 to 18,400 per ton; and Vietnamese 3L rubber was quoted at RMB 19,100 to 19,300 per ton.
VI. One-Year Price Trend Chart for Natural Rubber
VII. Industry Chain Reference
The upstream commodity in the natural rubber industry chain is the rubber tree; downstream products include weather balloons, ammonia‑water bags, irrigation and drainage hoses, condoms, hot water bottles, raincoats, blood transfusion tubes, medical gloves, sealing rings, drive belts, conveyor belts, rubber shoes, and tires.
Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
