On August 14, 2026, the BDO market in China showed a clear decline. All three averages were negative compared to the previous day, consistent with a clear downward signal. In the spot market on August 12, ethanol prices in multiple regions including Henan, Anhui, and Shandong were weak, with factory quotes and transaction prices declining. Downstream demand was weak, and the market lacked sufficient supply and demand support, driving prices down. For reference in terms of price levels: prices are at a low point over a 60-day and 3-month period, limiting further downward space; over a 1-year period, prices are at a mid-level, providing some buffer against further declines.
1. Average Difference Change Table
2. Signal Status Determination
Clearly declining (the three moving averages all show negative changes compared to the previous day).
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
Clear Decline. Reason: The three moving averages all showed a completely consistent downward trend compared to the previous day, meeting the criteria for a clear decline signal. On the spot market, on August 12, ethanol prices in multiple regions including Henan, Anhui, and Shandong were relatively weak; factory quotes softened, transactions declined, downstream demand remained sluggish, and supply-demand fundamentals provided insufficient support, driving prices lower.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
60-day and 3-month cycle prices are at a low level, with limited room for decline; 1-year cycle prices are at a medium level, providing some buffer against declines.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
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