September 14 news
[Key Insight] In the short term, ethanol is exhibiting a strong, consolidating, and volatile trend. Given its bullish bias, downside room is limited, and there is currently no clear driver for a significant, one-sided upward move.
1. Average Difference Variation Table
| Average Difference Type | Today's Value (2026-09-13) | Yesterday's Value (2026-09-12) | Direction of Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-day Average Difference (D5) | 11.89 | 22.00 | - |
| 10-day Average Difference (D10) | 19.34 | 14.28 | + |
| 20-day Average Difference (D20) | 18.52 | 16.19 | + |
2. Signal Status Determination
Volatility (strong consolidation, slightly bullish)
3. Trend Direction Conclusion
The short-term trend is characterized by volatile but generally strong movements. The reasoning is as follows: The combination of changes in the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages compared to the previous day is (-, +, +), which aligns with the bullish consolidation (slightly bullish) oscillation signal identified by the moving average difference method. On the fundamental side, stable prices of upstream raw materials such as corn and ethylene provide strong cost support for ethanol. Meanwhile, downstream rigid demand remains steady, and there are currently no significant negative factors affecting supply and demand, making it difficult for prices to decline significantly.
4. Positional Spatial Reference
The 60-day cycle price of ethanol is in the 4th tier (high-mid range), while the 3-month and 1-year cycle prices are both in the 3rd tier (mid-range). The overall room for price fluctuation is relatively limited.
5. Trend Chart Display
6. Risk Warning
The above analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice.
